This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 174 m², energy rating C. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This home offers a versatile top floor room ideal for an office or guest suite, along with a year-round pool and a very low condominium fee of €30.
The valuation. The asking price of €609,500 is significantly above the fair value of €351,588, presenting an excess of €257,912 or 42.3%. This property is clearly overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €351,588 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €609,500 sits €257,912 (42.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €609,500 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €722,622 (€4,153/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 (Condition 73 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 76). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 55/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 55 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €722,622 + condition +€0 + location +€6,894 = modelled fair value of €351,588 (€2,021/m²), a €257,912 (42.3%) gap versus the €609,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 001586 | Subject | €609,500 | €3,503 | — | 73 | 55 |
| Ericeira · 0015c2 | Active | €609,500 | €4,146 | 18.4% | 75 | 53 |
| Ericeira · 03250d | Active | €990,000 | €3,173 | 9.4% | 72 | 55 |
| Ericeira · de0b86 | Active | €649,000 | €4,031 | 15.1% | 68 | 59 |
| Ericeira · ba59ef | Active | €949,000 | €4,541 | 29.6% | 78 | 48 |
| Median comp | €799,000 | €4,089 | 16.7% | 74 | 54 |
Long-term rental The current listing price of €609,500 results in a gross yield of only 4.1%, which is relatively low for the Ericeira area. Given the fair value of €351,588, this property is significantly overpriced, highlighting a potential disconnect between market expectations and investment returns. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property at its current listing price poses a challenge, as the fair value indicates an overpricing by 42.3%. The moderate condition rating of 75/100 and a neighbourhood score of 55/100 further suggest that long-term appreciation may not justify the current cost, making this a less viable investment choice.
Economic volatility risk The property's economic stability score of 45 indicates a higher potential for economic downturns that could adversely affect rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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