This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 147 m². Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property provides immediate rental income potential with an active Short-Term Rental license and showcases a serene outdoor courtyard ideal for leisure activities. Energy Category: C
The valuation. The asking price of €609,500 is significantly above fair value, which stands at €298,836, reflecting a discrepancy of €310,664 (51.0%). This property is therefore considered overpriced, limiting its attractiveness to potential investors.
Fair value modelled at €298,836 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €609,500 sits €310,664 (51.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €609,500 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €639,303 (€4,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 79 · Room dimensions 76). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 53/100 (Housing Market 55 · Amenities 50 · Economic 55 · Tenant Quality 50). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €639,303 + condition +€4,134 + location +€3,494 = modelled fair value of €298,836 (€2,033/m²), a €310,664 (51.0%) gap versus the €609,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 0015c2 | Subject | €609,500 | €4,146 | — | 75 | 53 |
| Ericeira · 001586 | Active | €609,500 | €3,503 | 15.5% | 73 | 55 |
| Ericeira · 65a46e | Active | €550,000 | €3,438 | 17.1% | 72 | 48 |
| rua das Acácias | Active | €699,000 | €3,679 | 11.3% | 75 | 52 |
| Ericeira · 03250d | Active | €990,000 | €3,173 | 23.5% | 72 | 55 |
| Median comp | €654,250 | €3,471 | 16.3% | 73 | 54 |
Long-term rental A long-term rental strategy may struggle to generate attractive returns given the property's significant price above fair value at €609,500 compared to an estimated fair value of €298,836. Additionally, with a gross yield of only 3.2% and a neighbourhood rating of 53/100, this property does not present as a viable long-term investment opportunity. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable for this property as its current listing price represents a 51.0% premium over its fair value of €298,836. With the modest neighbourhood score of 53/100 and limited potential for appreciation, the risks outweigh possible rewards in a market offering better options. Family rental Although targeting family rentals could generate consistent income, the pricing of this property at €609,500 indicates it is overpriced against a fair valuation of €298,836. Coupled with a neighbourhood score of 53/100, the investment's prospects are hampered by its inflated purchase price and limited appeal in the local market.
Economic Downturn Risk With an economic stability score of 55/100 and a tenant stability score of 50/100, there's a significant risk that an economic downturn could further deteriorate tenant occupancy and rental income.
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