This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 129 m², energy rating D. Located Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa parish, Vila Franca de Xira municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The apartment offers a private box garage for enhanced security, along with a well-lit living space that enhances the quality of family life.
The valuation. The asking price of €415,000 is significantly above the fair value of €305,931, representing an overvaluation of €109,069 (26.3%). This property is overpriced for its market position.
Fair value modelled at €305,931 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €415,000 sits €109,069 (26.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €415,000 versus the Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa, Vila Franca de Xira, Lisbon area baseline of €361,716 (€2,804/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 (Condition 73 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 77). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 73/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa, Vila Franca de Xira, Lisbon
Area baseline €361,716 + condition +€3,628 + location +€25,469 = modelled fair value of €305,931 (€2,372/m²), a €109,069 (26.3%) gap versus the €415,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · 38993d | Subject | €415,000 | €3,217 | — | 73 | 73 |
| rua Barbosa Du Bocage | Active | €259,500 | €3,414 | 6.1% | 80 | 74 |
| praceta Amélia Rey Colaço, 3 | Active | €475,000 | €2,639 | 18.0% | 75 | 76 |
| rua Padre Manuel Duarte, 12 | Active | €319,000 | €3,190 | 0.8% | 70 | 76 |
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · f36524 | Active | €396,000 | €2,676 | 16.8% | 70 | 73 |
| Median comp | €357,500 | €2,933 | 8.8% | 73 | 75 |
Long-term rental Despite the property’s decent gross yield of 3.6%, it remains overpriced by 26.3% compared to its fair value. This elevated price, together with a moderate neighborhood rating of 73/100, suggests potential difficulty in achieving optimal long-term returns. Buy-and-hold Given the significant gap between the listing price of €415,000 and the fair value of €305,931, the buy-and-hold strategy is not favorable in this case. The property’s condition rating of 77/100 does provide some assurance, but the overvaluation limits its attractiveness for long-term capital appreciation. Family rental Although the property is located in a northern Lisbon suburb with typical suburban amenities, the 26.3% overpricing impacts its feasibility as a family rental investment. The average neighborhood quality score of 73/100 may attract families, but the elevated price could deter potential tenants looking for affordability.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 65/100 indicates a moderate potential for tenant turnover, which could negatively impact cash flow if vacancies occur more frequently than expected.
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