This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 236 m², built in 2017. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. The property features a panoramic view of the Serra de Sintra and includes extensive garden space with fruit trees and a unique rainwater collection system.
The valuation. The asking price of €840,000 exceeds the fair value of €502,626 by €337,374, or 40.2%. This property is therefore considered overpriced, reflecting a significant gap between market expectations and intrinsic value.
Fair value modelled at €502,626 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €840,000 sits €337,374 (40.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €840,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €467,516 (€1,981/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 86/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 53/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 50 · Economic 55 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €467,516 + condition +€29,500 + location +€5,610 = modelled fair value of €502,626 (€2,130/m²), a €337,374 (40.2%) gap versus the €840,000 asking price.
Long-term rental The property is priced at €840,000, significantly exceeding its fair value of €502,626, suggesting that it is overpriced by 40.2%. With a gross yield of only 3.2%, this investment does not align with typical long-term rental returns and may deter potential tenants due to high rents relative to local market conditions. Buy-and-hold Given the substantial gap between the listing price and fair value, this property does not present a favorable buy-and-hold opportunity. Investors may find it challenging to generate sufficient returns in a market with stagnant growth reflected by the score of 53/100 for the neighborhood. Family rental While Mafra offers proximity to Lisbon, the high asking price compared to fair value indicates the property is overpriced for family rentals. Prospective tenants may prioritize affordability, and the 3.2% gross yield suggests limited financial viability for long-term family rental arrangements.
Economic Volatility Risk The low economic stability score of 55/100 suggests that the property may be susceptible to fluctuations in the local economy, which could impact rental income and property value significantly.
