This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 163 m², energy rating C. Located on alameda do Zambujeiro, 15, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. This property boasts a private garden and outdoor terrace, perfect for al fresco dining and enhancing the outdoor living experience in a tranquil setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €780,000 exceeds the fair value of €264,381 by €515,619, indicating that the property is overpriced by 66.1%. This significant gap suggests caution for prospective buyers.
Fair value modelled at €264,381 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €780,000 sits €515,619 (66.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €780,000 versus the alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 area baseline of €548,821 (€3,367/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 79/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 46/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 55 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 45). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
alameda do Zambujeiro, 15
Area baseline €548,821 + condition +€9,678 + location -€4,142 = modelled fair value of €264,381 (€1,622/m²), a €515,619 (66.1%) gap versus the €780,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 | Subject | €780,000 | €4,785 | — | 75 | 46 |
| rua 2 Sul | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 14.1% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro | Active | €845,000 | €4,333 | 9.4% | 73 | 49 |
| via Ferry / Catamaran | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 14.1% | 75 | 50 |
| alameda de Troia S / N | Active | €950,000 | €5,975 | 24.9% | 80 | 51 |
| Median comp | €837,500 | €5,461 | 14.1% | 78 | 51 |
Long-term rental The property in Carvalhal offers a gross yield of only 1.9%, indicating limited rental income potential relative to its high price. Given the fair value of €264,381, this investment appears overpriced by 66.1%, reducing its attractiveness for long-term rental strategies. Buy-and-hold With a fair value significantly lower than the listing price, the buy-and-hold strategy is compromised by the property being overpriced at €780,000. The low yield of 1.9% suggests that capital appreciation in this market is unlikely to compensate for the excessive cost, making it a less appealing option. Family rental The 2-bed house in Carvalhal is overpriced at €780,000, with a fair value gap of 66.1%, making it challenging to justify for family rental purposes. A gross yield of 1.9% coupled with a neighborhood rating of only 46/100 indicates that the potential tenant pool may be limited, further complicating this strategy.
High Vacancy Risk With both economic stability and tenant stability scores at 45/100, the property may struggle to retain tenants, leading to potential high vacancy rates that could impact cash flow.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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