This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 202 m², built in 1997. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a cozy fireplace in the living room and a well-appointed outdoor barbecue area, enhancing its appeal for entertaining and relaxing in the garden.
The valuation. The asking price of €495,000 is significantly above the fair value of €408,188, resulting in an overpricing of €86,812 (17.5%). This valuation does not align with current market trends and indicates the property is overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €408,188 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €495,000 sits €86,812 (17.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €495,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €661,752 (€3,276/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 72). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 56/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 50 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €661,752 + condition -€1,578 + location +€9,604 = modelled fair value of €408,188 (€2,021/m²), a €86,812 (17.5%) gap versus the €495,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · 4babcc | Subject | €495,000 | €2,450 | — | 75 | 56 |
| Mafra · 82c819 | Active | €495,000 | €2,912 | 18.8% | 68 | 67 |
| Igreja Nova e Cheleiros · f364d7 | Active | €510,000 | €4,250 | 73.4% | 72 | 64 |
| Mafra · ba5be2 | Active | €1,299,000 | €4,724 | 92.8% | 72 | 63 |
| Mafra · 262100 | Active | €1,150,000 | €9,583 | 291.1% | 72 | 54 |
| Median comp | €830,000 | €4,487 | 83.1% | 72 | 64 |
Long-term rental Given the property's gross yield of 3.4%, the expected rental income may not sufficiently compensate for the 17.5% gap to fair value, indicating a potential downside in return on investment. Additionally, with a neighborhood score of 56/100, tenant demand may be limited despite reasonable school access for commuters. Family rental The property might seem attractive for family rentals due to its 3-bed layout and size, but the fair value discrepancy and neighborhood score suggest that families may be reluctant to pay the asking price. The suburban setting offers reasonable access to schools, but the overall demand may not meet the premium pricing. Buy-and-hold As a buy-and-hold investment, this property appears precarious, given its fair value being 17.5% lower than the listing price, which could lead to potential losses in equity over time. The neighborhood's average conditions and low yield also question the long-term capital appreciation prospects, making this a less favorable investment choice.
Economic Dependency Risk The economic stability score of 60 indicates a moderate risk of downturn, while a tenant stability score of 55 suggests potential volatility in occupancy rates, increasing uncertainty in rental income.
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