This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 306 m², built in 1971, energy rating D. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features an approved project to more than double the living area, adding two bedrooms, an office, and a spa, significantly enhancing its value and investment potential.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,300,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,667,738 by €1,632,262, rendering it overpriced by 49.5%. Such a disparity suggests a lack of market alignment.
Fair value modelled at €1,667,738 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €3,300,000 sits €1,632,262 (49.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,300,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,461,762 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 86/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 69/100 (Housing Market 72 · Amenities 55 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,461,762 + condition +€38,250 + location +€115,094 = modelled fair value of €1,667,738 (€5,450/m²), a €1,632,262 (49.5%) gap versus the €3,300,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 82c6f9 | Subject | €3,300,000 | €10,784 | — | 80 | 69 |
| rua Almirante Manuel Pereira Crespo | Active | €2,750,000 | €9,964 | 7.6% | 80 | 72 |
| rua Espinho | Active | €1,575,000 | €8,654 | 19.8% | 90 | 74 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 65a6bb | Active | €1,700,000 | €6,250 | 42.0% | 79 | 74 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e632e | Active | €1,350,000 | €8,036 | 25.5% | — | 68 |
| Median comp | €1,637,500 | €8,345 | 22.6% | 80 | 73 |
Long-term rental The 4-bed villa in Cascais e Estoril is listed at €3,300,000, which is significantly above its fair value of €1,667,738, indicating that it is overpriced by 49.5%. At a gross yield of only 2.2%, the investment does not present a robust return for long-term rental purposes in a neighborhood that has moderate safety and a housing market facing upward pressure on prices. Family rental This property, despite its appealing suburban location and good access to schools, is priced at a premium that makes it less attractive for family rentals, given its 49.5% gap from fair value. With a gross yield of 2.2%, families looking for rental options may find better value elsewhere in the Cascais e Estoril area, limiting potential tenant demand. Buy-and-hold Although the property offers substantial space and is situated in a neighborhood with decent amenities, its current listing price of €3,300,000 renders it overpriced by 49.5% compared to fair valuation benchmarks. This dilutes the attractiveness of a buy-and-hold strategy, as investors may encounter challenges realizing an adequate return on investment due to a gross yield of merely 2.2%.
Tenant turnover risk: With a tenant stability score of 65/100, there is a heightened risk of frequent tenant turnover, potentially leading to increased costs and vacancies.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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