This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 218 m², built in 1990, energy rating D. Located on rua do Vale Caeiro, 3, Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property offers a spacious 44 m² living room with a cozy fireplace and a terrace featuring unobstructed views, ideal for relaxation and outdoor dining.
The valuation. The asking price of €560,000 is significantly above the fair value estimate of €464,290, by €95,710 (17.1%). This property is considered overpriced given the comparison with market valuations. Buy-to-flip angle. With a strong renovation potential, the buy-to-flip strategy could focus on cosmetic enhancements to target a resale at a higher price, given the high-end finishes. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €1,680/month provides a gross yield of 3.6%, making this property suitable for long-term rental to families seeking quality housing in a suburban area.
Fair value modelled at €464,290 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €560,000 sits €95,710 (17.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €560,000 versus the rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 area baseline of €948,082 (€4,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 85 · Materials 88 · Room dimensions 82). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 53/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 50 · Economic 55 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua do Vale Caeiro, 3
Area baseline €948,082 + condition +€27,250 + location +€5,182 = modelled fair value of €464,290 (€2,130/m²), a €95,710 (17.1%) gap versus the €560,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Subject | €560,000 | €2,569 | — | 85 | 53 |
| Ericeira · 0dcd6d | Active | €560,000 | €2,995 | 16.6% | 80 | 59 |
| Ericeira · de0bcc | Active | €650,000 | €3,171 | 23.4% | 71 | 59 |
| Mafra · 4b8f84 | Active | €840,000 | €3,559 | 38.6% | 80 | 53 |
| Ericeira · 0015c2 | Active | €609,500 | €4,146 | 61.4% | 75 | 53 |
| Median comp | €629,750 | €3,365 | 31.0% | 78 | 56 |
Buy-and-hold The property is overpriced at €560,000, representing a 17.1% gap from the fair value of €464,290, which diminishes its potential as a long-term investment. With a gross yield of only 3.6% and a neighborhood rating of 53/100, the prospects for significant appreciation in value appear limited. Long-term rental Given its current pricing, the property is not suitably equipped to provide a competitive return for long-term rental strategies. The gross yield of 3.6% is uninspiring, further strained by an average neighborhood score, making it less attractive for sustained rental income. Family rental While the 3-bed layout is appealing for family rentals, the high price tag of €560,000 indicates the property is out of alignment with fair market expectations. Families seeking housing in an area with only average amenities and a neighborhood rating of 53/100 may find better value elsewhere. Not ideal for Short-term vacation rental opportunities are limited due to the property being overpriced and not effectively positioned for the competitive short-term market. Similarly, the luxury market is also unsuitable, as the property lacks the necessary allure and value proposition against its asking price.
Economic and Tenant Instability: With both economic stability and tenant stability scores at 55/100, there is a significant risk that the property may experience higher vacancy rates and less reliable rental income due to a lack of stability in the local economy and among tenants.
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