This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 200 m², built in 2026, energy rating D. Located Sesimbra (Castelo) parish, Sesimbra municipality, Setúbal district. This property features a unique annex with a wood-fired oven and barbecue area, perfect for outdoor entertaining, alongside a spacious wine cellar in the basement.
The valuation. The asking price of €645,000 is considerably above the fair value of €550,257, representing an overvaluation of €94,743 (14.7%). This suggests that the property is priced higher than its market value. Buy-to-flip angle. With a strong resale potential, the buy-to-flip strategy focuses on making cosmetic updates to modernize dated fixtures, aiming for a swift sale at a higher price based on demand in the Sesimbra market. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €1,881/month results in a gross yield of 3.5%, making this property appealing for long-term rentals, particularly to families seeking stability in the economically influenced Setúbal area.
Fair value modelled at €550,257 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €645,000 sits €94,743 (14.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €645,000 versus the Sesimbra (Castelo), Sesimbra, Setúbal area baseline of €550,400 (€2,752/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 67/100 (Condition 70 · Materials 75 · Room dimensions 65). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 62/100 (Housing Market 55 · Amenities 60 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 68). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Sesimbra (Castelo), Sesimbra, Setúbal
Area baseline €550,400 + condition -€26,563 + location +€26,419 = modelled fair value of €550,257 (€2,751/m²), a €94,743 (14.7%) gap versus the €645,000 asking price.
Long-term rental This property, with a listing price of €645,000 significantly above its fair value of €550,257, presents an unappealing investment option in the long-term rental market given its 14.7% gap. The gross yield of 3.5% does not justify the premium price, and the relatively low condition and neighbourhood ratings further diminish its attractiveness. Family rental While the property could cater to families seeking a long-term residence, its listing price far exceeds the fair value, indicating it is overpriced at €645,000 compared to the fair value of €550,257. Consequently, the modest gross yield of 3.5% does not provide sufficient incentive for families, particularly given the area's average neighbourhood rating. Buy-and-hold As a buy-and-hold investment, this property falls short due to being priced at €645,000, which is 14.7% above its fair value of €550,257. With a yield of only 3.5%, the potential appreciation does not compensate for the high acquisition cost, making this strategy less viable in the current market. Not ideal for Given the property’s high listing price and lack of alignment with market conditions, it is not positioned for success as a short-term vacation rental. Similarly, its appeal in the luxury market is undermined by the overpriced valuation and average ratings in condition and neighbourhood quality.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 68/100, there is a moderate risk of higher tenant turnover, which can lead to increased vacancy rates and associated costs.
