This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 217 m², built in 1987. Located Lagoa e Carvoeiro parish, Lagoa municipality, Faro district. Noteworthy Features: This villa boasts a stylish Moorish-style wall offering a cozy sitting area, and the first floor living room features stunning panoramic sea views with underfloor heating.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,450,000 is significantly above the fair value of €267,471, indicating a price premium of €1,182,529 (81.6%). This makes the property overpriced based on current market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €267,471 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,450,000 sits €1,182,529 (81.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,450,000 versus the Lagoa e Carvoeiro, Lagoa, Faro area baseline of €708,071 (€3,263/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 82). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 75/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 75 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Lagoa e Carvoeiro, Lagoa, Faro
Area baseline €708,071 + condition +€25,430 + location +€22,004 = modelled fair value of €267,471 (€1,233/m²), a €1,182,529 (81.6%) gap versus the €1,450,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 0dcdc8 | Subject | €1,450,000 | €6,682 | — | 80 | 75 |
| Estômbar e Parchal · 93724d | Active | €1,299,000 | €4,811 | 28.0% | 78 | 72 |
| Estômbar e Parchal · 9375f2 | Active | €1,395,000 | €6,707 | 0.4% | 84 | 78 |
| rua do Pestana Golf Resort | Active | €1,300,000 | €5,652 | 15.4% | 70 | 80 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 49b8f5 | Active | €5,000,000 | €13,587 | 103.3% | 75 | 73 |
| Median comp | €1,347,500 | €6,180 | 7.5% | 77 | 76 |
Short-term vacation rental The property’s gross yield of 3.3% indicates low profitability potential for short-term rentals, especially when compared to its fair value price of €267,471. With a significant gap of 81.6% above fair value, investing in this property for vacation rentals is not financially prudent. Long-term rental Given the 83/100 condition rating, the property may appeal to long-term renters, but the excessive price compared to its fair value at €267,471 suggests limited rental yield potential. The 3.3% gross yield further strengthens the argument that this property is not an optimal choice for long-term rental investment. Buy-and-hold While the neighbourhood rates 75/100 and boasts appeal for expatriates, the current price of €1,450,000 is substantially higher than its fair value of €267,471, representing a poor buy-and-hold opportunity. An 81.6% gap from fair value indicates that investing for long-term appreciation is unlikely to yield satisfactory results.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 75/100 suggests a moderate chance of tenant turnover, which could lead to potential vacancy periods affecting cash flow.
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