This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 0-bathroom apartment of 85 m², energy rating A. Located Santa Maria Maior parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. This property includes a generous 8 m² storage room and an additional storage area within the apartment, enhancing its practicality and appeal in urban living.
The valuation. The asking price of €430,000 is substantially above fair value, which stands at €103,437, making this property overpriced by €326,564 (75.9%). Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-and-flip strategy may not yield quick profits due to the property’s high initial cost and its overpriced status. Long-term investment strategies are more advisable given current market conditions. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €1,541/month equates to a gross yield of 4.3%, suggesting potential for steady cash flow, albeit with the acknowledgment of the initial pricing issue.
Fair value modelled at €103,437 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €430,000 sits €326,564 (75.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €430,000 versus the Santa Maria Maior, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €438,090 (€5,154/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 (Condition 72 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 76). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 83/100 (Housing Market 92 · Amenities 90 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 68). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Santa Maria Maior, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €438,090 + condition +€0 + location +€12,062 = modelled fair value of €103,437 (€1,217/m²), a €326,564 (75.9%) gap versus the €430,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Maria Maior · 1e61fa | Subject | €430,000 | €5,059 | — | 72 | 83 |
| Estrela · 001ac6 | Active | €520,000 | €6,190 | 22.4% | 78 | 83 |
| Arroios · 1e60fe | Active | €310,000 | €5,000 | 1.2% | 72 | 92 |
| rua dos Douradores | Active | €880,000 | €9,670 | 91.2% | 75 | 95 |
| São Vicente · 024215 | Active | €450,000 | €4,018 | 20.6% | 77 | 90 |
| Median comp | €485,000 | €5,595 | 10.6% | 76 | 91 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced at €430,000, significantly above its fair value of €103,437, indicating a staggering 75.9% gap. The gross yield of 4.3% does not justify this price in a balanced long-term rental market. Short-term vacation rental Investing in this property for short-term vacation rental purposes is imprudent as it is overpriced with a fair value of only €103,437 compared to the asking price of €430,000. While the neighborhood has tourist appeal, the significant price gap challenges the profitability potential from short-term rentals. Buy-and-hold This buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable, since the property is priced at €430,000 against a fair value of €103,437, showing a 75.9% valuation gap. While the location may offer some advantages, the considerable overpricing severely limits future appreciation opportunities and overall returns.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 68/100, there may be a higher likelihood of tenant turnover, leading to potential vacancy costs and reduced rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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