This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 152 m², built in 2009, energy rating B. Located on rua 2 Sul, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: This property boasts a transferable AL license for immediate tourist rental, enhancing its investment potential in the desirable Beach Reserve Troia community., Características Notáveis: Esta propriedade possui uma licença AL transferível para arrendamento turístico imediato, aumentando seu potencial de investimento na desejável comunidade Beach Reserve Troia.
The valuation. The asking price of €830,000 is significantly above the calculated fair value of €259,679, an overpricing of €570,321 (68.7%). Consequently, the property is deemed overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. Given its high-quality materials and elegant finishes, a resale strategy could capitalize on renovations to appeal to budget-focused buyers, though the property remains overpriced for a quick flip. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €1,176/month and a gross yield of only 1.7%, the long-term rental strategy faces challenges due to the rural location's limited demand and amenities.
Fair value modelled at €259,679 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €830,000 sits €570,321 (68.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €830,000 versus the rua 2 Sul area baseline of €511,784 (€3,367/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 81). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 51/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 45 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua 2 Sul
Area baseline €511,784 + condition +€17,337 + location +€966 = modelled fair value of €259,679 (€1,708/m²), a €570,321 (68.7%) gap versus the €830,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua 2 Sul | Subject | €830,000 | €5,461 | — | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro | Active | €845,000 | €4,333 | 20.6% | 73 | 49 |
| Carvalhal · 0dcbbb | Active | €1,480,000 | €11,473 | 110.1% | 80 | 45 |
| alameda de Troia S / N | Active | €950,000 | €5,975 | 9.4% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 | Active | €780,000 | €4,785 | 12.4% | 75 | 46 |
| Median comp | €897,500 | €5,380 | 1.5% | 78 | 48 |
Long-term rental The 2-bed house in Carvalhal is overpriced at €830,000, significantly exceeding the fair value of €259,679 by 68.7%. With a gross yield of only 1.7%, it does not present a compelling case for long-term rental in a rural area with limited economic activity. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is unsupported given its current listing price compared to its fair value, indicating it is overpriced. The lack of urban amenities and low neighbourhood quality further contributes to a tenuous investment outlook for long-term ownership.
Economic Volatility Risk The property faces a significant economic volatility risk with an economic stability score of 50/100, indicating a potentially unstable market environment that could affect rental income.
Contributions are public and shown with the author's name and role. Links posted by users are not endorsed by Private Markets.
Log in to continue
Please log in or create an account to access this page.
No posts yet for this property.
Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
Log in to buy the report or use a credit
