This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 276 m², built in 1979, energy rating D. Located on rua Almirante Manuel Pereira Crespo, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features an independent annex that offers versatile usage as a guest house, office, or wellness space, enhancing its appeal and value for potential buyers.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,750,000 is significantly above the fair value of €1,518,469, resulting in an overpriced verdict of €1,231,531 (44.8%). Buyers should be cautious when considering this valuation. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-and-flip strategy could be challenging given the current high asking price, but improvements in the property's luxury appeal may attract upscale buyers. Quick resale may not yield desired returns. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 1.9% and an estimated rental income of €4,354/month, the property's rental strategy leans towards long-term family rentals, benefiting from the Lisbon metropolitan area's urban advantages.
Fair value modelled at €1,518,469 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,750,000 sits €1,231,531 (44.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,750,000 versus the rua Almirante Manuel Pereira Crespo area baseline of €1,318,452 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 72/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Almirante Manuel Pereira Crespo
Area baseline €1,318,452 + condition +€32,344 + location +€120,201 = modelled fair value of €1,518,469 (€5,502/m²), a €1,231,531 (44.8%) gap versus the €2,750,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Almirante Manuel Pereira Crespo | Subject | €2,750,000 | €9,964 | — | 80 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 82c6f9 | Active | €3,300,000 | €10,784 | 8.2% | 80 | 69 |
| rua Espinho | Active | €1,575,000 | €8,654 | 13.1% | 90 | 74 |
| rua Sacadura Cabral, 4 | Active | €925,000 | €5,781 | 42.0% | 75 | 73 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e63b6 | Active | €2,200,000 | €6,567 | 34.1% | 70 | 74 |
| Median comp | €1,887,500 | €7,611 | 23.6% | 78 | 74 |
Family rental This property is priced at €2,750,000, which is 44.8% above its fair value of €1,518,469, making it an unfavorable option for family rental due to its high cost relative to potential rental income. With a gross yield of only 1.9%, families may find more reasonably priced alternatives elsewhere in the Cascais e Estoril area. Long-term rental Given the property’s listing price significantly exceeds its fair value, it presents a challenge in the long-term rental market, where tenants are often price-sensitive. The gross yield of 1.9%, coupled with a high price point, suggests that securing reliable tenants may be difficult as compared to less expensive options. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy is weakened by the current valuation of €2,750,000, far above the fair value, which limits capital appreciation potential in this overvalued market. With a yield of only 1.9% and no significant improvements to justify the price, the investment’s long-term viability is questionable. Not ideal for luxury market Despite being in a desirable area with urban advantages in proximity to Lisbon, the property is overpriced at €2,750,000, which fails to align with market expectations for luxury investments. The existing condition score of 83/100 and a neighborhood rating of 72/100 do not justify the pricing in the highly competitive luxury sector.
Economic Vulnerability With both economic stability and tenant stability scores at 70/100, there is a significant risk that unforeseen economic downturns could lead to increased vacancy rates and decreased rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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