This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 57 m², energy rating C. Located Campo de Ourique parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a spacious 29.5m² backyard, ideal for outdoor leisure, and showcases a modern aesthetic with high-quality finishes throughout its well-maintained interior.
The valuation. The asking price of €415,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €254,259, presenting an overvaluation of €160,741 (38.7%). This property is priced out of reach for true investment potential. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would require substantial renovations and market timing to achieve a profitable resale, given the current high asking price amidst potential buyer resistance. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €1,280/month, the property offers a gross yield of 3.7%, appealing as a long-term rental option in a vibrant neighborhood with consistent demand.
Fair value modelled at €254,259 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €415,000 sits €160,741 (38.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €415,000 versus the Campo de Ourique, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €351,918 (€6,174/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 (Condition 74 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 75). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 81/100 (Housing Market 85 · Amenities 85 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Campo de Ourique, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €351,918 + condition +€1,959 + location +€27,834 = modelled fair value of €254,259 (€4,461/m²), a €160,741 (38.7%) gap versus the €415,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campo de Ourique · 96c345 | Subject | €415,000 | €7,281 | — | 74 | 81 |
| Avenidas Novas · 96c607 | Active | €595,000 | €6,611 | 9.2% | 80 | 85 |
| rua Veloso Salgado, 34 | Active | €597,500 | €4,780 | 34.3% | 85 | 80 |
| Avenidas Novas · f36594 | Active | €6,000,000 | €4,819 | 33.8% | 72 | 85 |
| calçada dos Mestres | Active | €1,400,000 | €6,452 | 11.4% | 75 | 78 |
| Median comp | €998,750 | €5,636 | 22.6% | 78 | 83 |
Long-term rental The property appears to be overpriced at €415,000 compared to the fair value of €254,259, presenting a significant 38.7% gap. This diminishes the appeal for long-term rental investments, particularly given a gross yield of just 3.7% in a strong but competitive housing market. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy is less attractive here, as the high listing price significantly exceeds fair value and limits potential returns over the long term. The property’s current condition score of 77/100 may maintain some interest, yet it does not justify the inflated asking price in this central Lisbon area. Family rental For family rentals, the €415,000 listing price does not align with the fair value determined at €254,259, resulting in a concerning 38.7% gap. While the neighborhood rating of 81/100 benefits family-oriented tenants, the overall cost makes it a less ideal investment opportunity. Not ideal for Value-add renovation, Short-term rental, Student housing.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 75/100 indicates a potential risk of higher tenant turnover, which could lead to increased vacancy rates and related costs.
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