This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 174 m², built in 2001. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The house includes a traditional wood oven in the BBQ area, perfect for outdoor culinary experiences, and boasts panoramic views of the Lizandro River Valley that enhance its charm.
The valuation. The asking price of €590,000 is significantly above the fair value of €329,779, making it overpriced by €260,221 (44.1%). This discrepancy suggests a lack of competitive pricing in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would require renovation to enhance its appeal, but given its overpriced status, achieving a profitable resale could be challenging unless the market significantly appreciates. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €2,065 per month, this property offers a gross yield of 4.2%, making it viable for long-term or family rentals in the suburban area, despite the current asking price.
Fair value modelled at €329,779 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €590,000 sits €260,221 (44.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €590,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €734,802 (€4,223/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 61/100 (Condition 65 · Materials 60 · Room dimensions 57). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 66/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 65 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €734,802 + condition -€36,975 + location +€22,060 = modelled fair value of €329,779 (€1,895/m²), a €260,221 (44.1%) gap versus the €590,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 96c6bc | Subject | €590,000 | €3,391 | — | 65 | 66 |
| praceta das Lombas, 4 | Active | €590,000 | €2,744 | 19.1% | 75 | 59 |
| Carvoeira · 1e6386 | Active | €550,000 | €2,973 | 12.3% | — | 58 |
| rua das Casas Novas, 1 | Active | €598,000 | €2,567 | 24.3% | 72 | 55 |
| Ericeira · de0bcc | Active | €650,000 | €3,171 | 6.5% | 71 | 59 |
| Median comp | €594,000 | €2,859 | 15.7% | 72 | 59 |
Long-term rental The listing price of €590,000 represents a significant premium compared to the fair value of €329,779, making this property unattractive for long-term rental investment. With a gross yield of only 4.2%, the potential return does not compensate for the notable gap in valuation. Family rental While the property is located in a generally safe suburban area, the listing price is excessively high compared to the fair value, indicating that it may not be a viable option for family rental. The condition score of 61/100 and neighbourhood rating of 66/100 further suggest that the investment may not provide the quality environment that families desire in such a rental market.
Economic Vulnerability The property faces potential financial instability due to a moderate economic stability score of 65/100, indicating susceptibility to market fluctuations.
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