This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 150 m², built in 2015, energy rating A. Located on estrada nacional 253, 1, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Unique Feature: This villa is set in the prestigious Pestana Tróia Eco-Resort, offering private beach access and a sustainable living environment amidst native landscaping.
The valuation. The asking price of €495,000 positions the property €243,940 (49.3%) above its fair value of €251,060. This suggests the villa is overpriced and may not represent a wise investment opportunity given its inflated cost relative to market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €251,060 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €495,000 sits €243,940 (49.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €495,000 versus the estrada nacional 253, 1 area baseline of €505,050 (€3,367/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 (Condition 78 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 48/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 55 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 60). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
estrada nacional 253, 1
Area baseline €505,050 + condition +€14,766 + location -€1,906 = modelled fair value of €251,060 (€1,674/m²), a €243,940 (49.3%) gap versus the €495,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada nacional 253, 1 | Subject | €495,000 | €3,300 | — | 78 | 48 |
| estrada Sem Nome | Active | €4,500,000 | €15,845 | 380.2% | 85 | 56 |
| Carvalhal · 0dcbc4 | Active | €1,250,000 | €8,224 | 149.2% | 78 | 49 |
| estrada Nacional, 253, 1 | Active | €350,000 | €3,097 | 6.1% | 78 | 53 |
| urbanização Soltroia | Active | €895,000 | €7,716 | 133.8% | 84 | 51 |
| Median comp | €1,072,500 | €7,970 | 141.5% | 81 | 52 |
Long-term rental The property at €495,000 is overpriced by 49.3% compared to its fair value of €251,060, resulting in unsustainable yield prospects. With a gross yield of 0%, long-term rental may not provide a reliable return on investment in this rural area with limited local amenities. Family rental Given its current listing, the property's inflated price makes it an unwise investment for family rentals, as the gap from fair value suggests potential difficulty in meeting tenant expectations. The average neighbourhood rating of 48/100 further indicates challenges in attracting families looking for quality living environments. Not ideal for short-term rental Due to its overpriced nature and rural characteristics, this property is not suitable for short-term rentals, affecting potential profitability. The lack of gross yield and proximity to agricultural zones suggest limited tourism appeal, which is crucial for short-term rental success. Not ideal for luxury market The villa's pricing at €495,000 does not align with offerings in the luxury market, making it overpriced such that it fails to meet luxury standards. Additionally, the low neighbourhood rating detracts from its desirability among affluent clients seeking prime locations and amenities.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 35/100 indicates a high risk of economic downturns affecting rental income and property value.
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