This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 150 m², built in 2015, energy rating A. Located on estrada nacional 253, 1, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: This villa offers exclusive co-ownership in the prestigious Pestana Tróia Eco-Resort, providing a unique and lucrative opportunity for vacation rental income amidst a beautiful coastal setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €495,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €270,702, indicating an overvaluation of €224,298 (45.3%). This property may not present a financially sound investment opportunity. Buy-to-flip angle. Given the high asking price and overall condition, a buy-to-flip strategy may yield limited returns; significant price reductions will be needed to align with market expectations. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 0%, this villa does not currently align with a profitable rental income strategy, especially given the mixed neighborhood rating of 48/100.
Fair value modelled at €270,702 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €495,000 sits €224,298 (45.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €495,000 versus the estrada nacional 253, 1 area baseline of €258,000 (€1,720/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 (Condition 78 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx. Full condition report →
Neighbourhood score 48/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 55 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 60). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline. Full location report →
estrada nacional 253, 1
Area baseline €258,000 + condition +€14,766 + location -€2,064 = modelled fair value of €270,702 (€1,805/m²), a €224,298 (45.3%) gap versus the €495,000 asking price.
Long-term rental The villa's listing price of €495,000 significantly exceeds its fair value of €270,702, indicating that it is overpriced by 45.3%. Additionally, with a gross yield of 0% and a neighborhood quality rating of just 48/100, the long-term rental potential seems limited in this rural Portuguese setting. Family rental This property, priced at €495,000, is exorbitantly above its fair value of €270,702, marking it as overpriced by 45.3%. With a solid condition rating of 81/100, the villa may attract families, but its unattractive yield and rural context may hinder rental sustainability in the long term.
Potential for Economic Decline The economic stability score of 35/100 indicates a high risk of downturn, which may lead to reduced rental income and increased vacancies.
