This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 359 m², built in 2014, energy rating B. Located on avenida Conde de São Januário, Oeiras e São Julião da Barra, Paço de Arcos e Caxias parish, Oeiras municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa includes multiple balconies offering unblocked sea views and is uniquely located in a quiet luxury condominium of only five villas, ensuring exclusivity and tranquility.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,600,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,853,122 by €746,878 (28.7%). Accordingly, this property is overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy for this property would seek pricing adjustments reflecting recent market trends, capitalizing on its high-quality finishes for a potential profitable flip. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of approximately €4,767/month offers a gross yield of 2.2%, making it a viable option for long-term rental or family rental strategies in the area.
Fair value modelled at €1,853,122 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,600,000 sits €746,878 (28.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,600,000 versus the avenida Conde de São Januário area baseline of €1,643,861 (€4,579/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 86/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 75/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 80 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
avenida Conde de São Januário
Area baseline €1,643,861 + condition +€44,875 + location +€164,386 = modelled fair value of €1,853,122 (€5,162/m²), a €746,878 (28.7%) gap versus the €2,600,000 asking price.
Long-term rental This property, priced at €2,600,000, shows a significant gap of 28.7% compared to its fair value of €1,853,122, indicating it is overpriced. With a low gross yield of 2.2%, it may not provide an attractive return for long-term rental investors in the current market. Family rental Given the strong Lisbon metro housing influence and urban amenities, this property could typically attract families; however, the listing price is 28.7% higher than fair value, labeling it as overpriced. Investors should be cautious, as the low yield of 2.2% does not justify the high entry cost in the family rental segment. Buy-and-hold Although buy-and-hold strategies can be appealing for properties near Lisbon, the current listing of €2,600,000 is 28.7% above its fair value of €1,853,122, making it overpriced. The low yield of 2.2% further complicates the long-term investment appeal, suggesting that a more competitive price point would be necessary for potential appreciation. Not ideal for: Short-term vacation rental, Luxury market, Student housing Due to the high listing price and low yield, this property is not ideal for short-term vacation rental or the luxury market. Additionally, the high price point may deter students seeking affordable housing options in this area.
Potential Tenant Turnover The tenant stability score of 70/100 suggests that there may be a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could impact occupancy rates and rental income.
