This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 201 m², built in 2012, energy rating B. Located on rua Moinho Novo, Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim parish, Sintra municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a spacious multipurpose room with a fireplace, ideal for creating a cozy home cinema or games room, enhancing family leisure opportunities.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,810,000 is significantly above fair value, exceeding it by €1,314,787 (72.6%). This property is overpriced relative to the assessment of €495,213. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy could involve renovations to further enhance the property's appeal, but with current pricing, realizing a profit would be challenging. Prospective investors should be cautious given its high valuation. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €3,922/month, the gross yield sits at 2.6%. The suburban location and access to Lisbon make it attractive for long-term family rentals despite the high upfront cost.
Fair value modelled at €495,213 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,810,000 sits €1,314,787 (72.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,810,000 versus the rua Moinho Novo area baseline of €597,372 (€2,972/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 81). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 73/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 70 · Economic 75 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Moinho Novo
Area baseline €597,372 + condition +€24,183 + location +€39,684 = modelled fair value of €495,213 (€2,464/m²), a €1,314,787 (72.6%) gap versus the €1,810,000 asking price.
Long-term rental The property’s overpriced status, with a valuation gap of 72.6%, signals a cautionary approach for long-term rental investments. At a gross yield of only 2.6%, the return may not justify the elevated entry cost in the current market. Family rental Given the property’s high asking price against its fair value, family rental potential is limited by the 72.6% valuation gap. The current yield of 2.6% suggests that families may seek more competitively priced options within the area, impacting demand. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is risky, particularly due to its overpriced status reflected in the significant gap from fair value. The low gross yield of 2.6% may lead to decreased appreciation prospects, making it less attractive for long-term capital growth.
Potential rental income fluctuations With both economic stability and tenant stability scores at 75/100, there is a risk of potential fluctuations in rental income due to changing economic conditions or tenant turnover.
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