This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom duplex of 232 m², built in 2022, energy rating A. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a 72 m² terrace ideal for entertaining, complemented by panoramic sea views that enhance the outdoor living experience. Localização: A uma curta distância de 700 m do centro da vila de Ericeira.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,200,000 is only slightly above the fair value of €1,186,141, representing a modest difference of €13,859 or 1.2%, deeming the property fair. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale or wholesale strategy could capitalize on upgraded features and high-quality finishes to attract buyers seeking luxury in Ericeira, aiming for a profit margin above the acquisition costs. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €2,800/month generates a gross yield of 2.8%, ideal for long-term rental investments in a mixed neighborhood like this, providing steady cash flow while capitalizing on location demand.
Fair value modelled at €1,186,141 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,200,000 sits €13,859 (1.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,200,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €1,066,869 (€4,599/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,066,869, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,186,141 (€5,113/m²), a €13,859 (1.2%) gap versus the €1,200,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 8ee3f3 | Subject | €1,200,000 | €5,172 | — | 80 | 59 |
| Ericeira · 9388ac | Active | €940,000 | €5,529 | 6.9% | 85 | 58 |
| rua das Lombas, 8 | Active | €737,000 | €6,246 | 20.8% | 85 | 54 |
| Ericeira · f36370 | Active | €697,500 | €3,559 | 31.2% | 79 | 56 |
| Ericeira · 6c796d | Active | €695,000 | €4,696 | 9.2% | 90 | 60 |
| Median comp | €717,250 | €5,113 | 1.2% | 85 | 57 |
Long-term rental The property offers a long-term rental yield of 2.8%, which is relatively low compared to other investment opportunities in the area. With a fair value of €1,186,141 and a minimal gap from the listing price, the investment is unlikely to yield significant short-term gains in appreciation. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy may provide stability in ownership, but the modest yield and the fair valuation suggest limited potential for capital growth. The condition rating of 83/100 indicates a well-maintained residence, yet the rural setting and a neighbourhood score of 59/100 may not attract high tenant demand over time.
Low economic resilience The economic stability score of 45/100 indicates a high risk of fluctuating market conditions, which may impact tenant demand and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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