This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 6-bathroom villa of 485 m², energy rating A+. Located Alcabideche parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The villa includes an outdoor support area with hot and cold water features, enhancing the convenience of the heated pool environment for year-round enjoyment.
The valuation. The asking price of €4,125,000 is significantly above the fair value of €2,069,241, presenting an overpriced situation by €2,055,759 (49.8%). This notable discrepancy underscores a concerning valuation position.
Fair value modelled at €2,069,241 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €4,125,000 sits €2,055,759 (49.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €4,125,000 versus the Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €2,072,890 (€4,274/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 89/100 (Condition 90 · Materials 88 · Room dimensions 86). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 79/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 75 · Economic 85 · Tenant Quality 80). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €2,072,890 + condition +€60,625 + location +€208,781 = modelled fair value of €2,069,241 (€4,266/m²), a €2,055,759 (49.8%) gap versus the €4,125,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcabideche · 93734a | Subject | €4,125,000 | €8,505 | — | 90 | 79 |
| rua Conde de Albuquerque | Active | €2,450,000 | €9,074 | 6.7% | 85 | 71 |
| Alcabideche · 956b67 | Active | €1,580,000 | €6,695 | 21.3% | 75 | 67 |
| avenida Lago, 510 | Active | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 39.0% | 78 | 75 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 02387a | Active | €5,500,000 | €7,463 | 12.3% | 85 | 72 |
| Median comp | €2,525,000 | €8,269 | 2.8% | 82 | 72 |
Long-term rental The investment potential for long-term rental in this villa is diminished by its significant pricing, with a gross yield of only 1.6%, indicating it may not generate sufficient return relative to its listing price of €4,125,000. With a gap of 49.8% compared to its fair value of €2,069,241, this property fails to present a compelling case for long-term rental investment. Family rental Though the villa is situated in a desirable suburban location with amenities typical of Greater Lisbon, its overpriced position at €4,125,000 limits its attractiveness as a family rental. The 1.6% gross yield and a fair value gap of 49.8% suggest that families may seek more economically viable options in the market. Buy-and-hold Considering the considerable discrepancy between the listing price and fair value, this property is not a prudent buy-and-hold investment, especially with a yield of just 1.6%. The pricing at €4,125,000 does not align with potential appreciation rates, making it a less attractive long-term holding in the Alcabideche area.
Economic Dependence Risk There is a risk that economic fluctuations could impact tenant stability, as both scores suggest a moderately high reliance on favorable economic conditions, with an economic stability score of 85/100 and a tenant stability score of 80/100 in a changing market.
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