This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 130 m², energy rating C. Located Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property features an expansive outdoor space with potential for landscaping, along with proximity to local amenities and quick access to the A21 for commuting.
The valuation. The asking price of €300,000 exceeds the fair value of €240,975 by €59,025 (19.7%), indicating the property is overpriced. A careful analysis of the market suggests a reassessment is necessary for serious investors.
Fair value modelled at €240,975 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €300,000 sits €59,025 (19.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €300,000 versus the Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €405,210 (€3,117/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 48/100 (Condition 43 · Materials 50 · Room dimensions 55). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 66/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 60 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €405,210 + condition -€55,859 + location +€17,855 = modelled fair value of €240,975 (€1,854/m²), a €59,025 (19.7%) gap versus the €300,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça · ba5b20 | Subject | €300,000 | €2,308 | — | 43 | 66 |
| rua Joaquim Carvalho, 6 | Active | €440,000 | €2,268 | 1.7% | 42 | 59 |
| avenida 9 de Julho, 37 | Active | €500,000 | €3,333 | 44.4% | — | 57 |
| rua Fonte da Aurora, 7 | Active | €410,000 | €6,721 | 191.3% | — | 63 |
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · f35fa1 | Active | €410,000 | €6,833 | 196.1% | — | 71 |
| Median comp | €425,000 | €5,027 | 117.8% | 42 | 61 |
Long-term rental The property presents a gross yield of 5.6%, which falls short of its fair value of €240,975, indicating that the property is not generating sufficient returns to justify its listing price of €300,000. With a condition score of 48/100 and a neighbourhood score of 66/100, it may struggle to attract quality long-term tenants. Family rental While the property could serve as a family rental in a typical suburban area, its price of €300,000 does not align with its assessed fair value of €240,975, suggesting that it may not be a strategic investment for families seeking value. The condition and safety scores may further deter prospective tenants looking for both quality and affordability. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is challenged by its current listing price being 19.7% above fair value, which may limit capital appreciation potential in the long term. Additionally, the overall condition and neighbourhood score indicate that maintaining steady demand could be problematic, undermining the investment's growth. Not ideal for luxury market This property is not suited for the luxury market, as its valuation and condition do not meet the expectations typically associated with luxury investments. Overpricing and lesser amenities in the neighborhood further reinforce its incompatibility with this segment. Not ideal for short-term vacation rental Given the assessed fair value of €240,975 and the current listing price, the property is unlikely to yield profitable returns in the short-term vacation rental market. The neighborhood characteristics and lower tenant quality may further limit its appeal to travelers seeking accommodations.
Tenant turnover risk: With a tenant stability score of 65/100, there is a notable risk of frequent tenant turnover, which could lead to increased vacancy rates and loss of rental income over time.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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