This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 5-bathroom house of 182 m², energy rating B. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property boasts a substantial 140m² private garden, providing ample outdoor space for recreation, along with a dedicated games area that enhances its family-friendly appeal.
The valuation. The asking price of €543,000 sits €158,530 (29.2%) above fair value at €384,470, indicating the property is overpriced. Potential buyers should approach this investment with caution.
Fair value modelled at €384,470 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €543,000 sits €158,530 (29.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €543,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €722,176 (€3,968/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 (Condition 72 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 76). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 66/100 (Housing Market 65 · Amenities 60 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €722,176 + condition +€853 + location +€23,075 = modelled fair value of €384,470 (€2,112/m²), a €158,530 (29.2%) gap versus the €543,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 6ebb61 | Subject | €543,000 | €2,984 | — | 72 | 66 |
| rua Joaquim Almeida Marrão | Active | €920,000 | €2,329 | 21.9% | 75 | 59 |
| Ericeira · 96c60b | Active | €945,000 | €3,098 | 3.8% | — | 65 |
| Ericeira · ba3b4a | Active | €665,000 | €3,037 | 1.8% | 80 | 56 |
| rua Domingos José Ferreira | Active | €790,000 | €2,358 | 21.0% | 83 | 57 |
| Median comp | €855,000 | €2,698 | 9.6% | 80 | 58 |
Long-term rental Given the current listing price of €543,000, the property is positioned at a 29.2% premium over its fair value of €384,470, diminishing its attractiveness for long-term rental returns. With a gross yield of 4.7% and a neighborhood rating of 66/100, the financial metrics indicate that this property is overpriced relative to potential rental income. Family rental At €543,000, this property exceeds its fair value by 29.2%, suggesting that it may not be the best option for families seeking affordable rental solutions. The combination of its decent condition rating of 75/100 and suburban setting supports family living, yet the price dilutes rental affordability for potential tenants. Buy-and-hold While the property offers a long-term investment opportunity, its price of €543,000 is significantly above the fair value of €384,470, leading to concerns about future capital appreciation. Given the current gross yield of 4.7% and neighborhood amenities, the investment appears overpriced and may not deliver the expected returns in the buy-and-hold strategy.
Tenant turnover risk The economic and tenant stability scores are both at 70/100, indicating a moderate risk of tenant turnover that could impact rental income continuity.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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