This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 420 m², built in 2026, energy rating B. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The property features a sophisticated architectural design by renowned architect Valsassina, maximizing natural light and integrating seamlessly with the surrounding landscape for an elevated living experience.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,750,000 exceeds the fair value of €716,792 by €3,033,208, translating to an 80.9% markup. This property is therefore marked as overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €716,792 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €3,750,000 sits €3,033,208 (80.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,750,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €1,414,140 (€3,367/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 88 · Room dimensions 90). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 49/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 45 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 55). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal
Area baseline €1,414,140 + condition +€52,500 + location -€2,668 = modelled fair value of €716,792 (€1,707/m²), a €3,033,208 (80.9%) gap versus the €3,750,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 483af3 | Subject | €3,750,000 | €8,929 | — | 80 | 49 |
| Carvalhal · ba3a1a | Active | €2,480,000 | €7,294 | 18.3% | 88 | 39 |
| Carvalhal · 65a833 | Active | €950,000 | €6,552 | 26.6% | 85 | 44 |
| Carvalhal · b7c016 | Active | €1,500,000 | €8,380 | 6.1% | 84 | 49 |
| Carvalhal · 6eb93c | Active | €625,000 | €4,058 | 54.5% | 82 | 42 |
| Median comp | €1,225,000 | €6,923 | 22.5% | 85 | 43 |
Long-term rental The property in Carvalhal presents a significant pricing discrepancy, being listed at €3,750,000 when its fair value is only €716,792, indicating it is overpriced by 80.9%. Additionally, with a gross yield of 0% and a low neighborhood score of 49/100, this investment fails to provide a viable long-term rental opportunity. Buy-and-hold At €3,750,000, the property is overpriced compared to its fair value of €716,792, reflecting an 80.9% gap that undermines its potential as a buy-and-hold investment. The lack of growth prospects in a rural area with basic amenities further challenges the viability of holding this property for long-term appreciation.
Economic volatility risk With an economic stability score of 35/100, there is a heightened risk of economic downturns affecting rental income and property value.
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