This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 145 m², built in 2025, energy rating B. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. This villa boasts an elevated terrace offering stunning views of the surrounding resort, enhancing the outdoor living experience and providing a serene retreat.
The valuation. The asking price of €950,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €242,859, making it overpriced by €707,141 (74.4%). This property does not represent a prudent investment relative to its current market valuation.
Fair value modelled at €242,859 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €950,000 sits €707,141 (74.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €950,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €249,400 (€1,720/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 85 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 78). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 44/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 45 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 50). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal
Area baseline €249,400 + condition +€18,125 + location -€5,526 = modelled fair value of €242,859 (€1,675/m²), a €707,141 (74.4%) gap versus the €950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 65a833 | Subject | €950,000 | €6,552 | — | 85 | 44 |
| Carvalhal · 4bbbb6 | Active | €1,390,000 | €9,145 | 39.6% | 76 | 46 |
| Carvalhal · ba3a1a | Active | €2,480,000 | €7,294 | 11.3% | 88 | 39 |
| Carvalhal · 1e6686 | Active | €850,000 | €6,250 | 4.6% | 78 | 42 |
| Carvalhal · 25f698 | Active | €4,495,000 | €12,349 | 88.5% | 85 | 51 |
| Median comp | €1,935,000 | €8,220 | 25.5% | 82 | 44 |
Long-term rental Given the significant gap between the listing price of €950,000 and the fair value of €242,859, this property is overpriced by 74.4%, which undermines potential returns in the long-term rental market. The gross yield of 2.6% is insufficient to justify this investment in a neighborhood that scores only 44/100, indicating limited tenant demand. Family rental The overpriced status of this property, listed at €950,000 compared to its fair value of €242,859, presents a challenge for family rentals due to low yield potential and neighborhood quality. With a gross yield of just 2.6% and local amenities rated poorly, it fails to meet the needs of prospective family tenants in a rural area.
Low tenant retention risk The tenant stability score of 50/100 indicates a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which may impact consistent rental income.
