This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 261 m², built in 2019, energy rating A. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The villa enhances outdoor living with a panoramic balcony and elegantly designed BBQ zone, seamlessly integrating the stunning views into everyday enjoyment.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,045,000 exceeds the fair value of €676,719 by €368,281, or 54.4%. This property is overpriced in the current market context.
Fair value modelled at €676,719 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,045,000 sits €368,281 (54.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,045,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €598,898 (€2,295/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €598,898, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €676,719 (€2,593/m²), a €368,281 (54.4%) gap versus the €1,045,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 4a45ed | Subject | €1,045,000 | €4,004 | — | 80 | 64 |
| Ericeira · b7c1c9 | Active | €1,160,000 | €2,982 | 25.5% | 85 | 59 |
| rua Domingos José Ferreira | Active | €790,000 | €2,358 | 41.1% | 83 | 57 |
| rua Joaquim Almeida Marrão | Active | €920,000 | €2,329 | 41.8% | 75 | 59 |
| rua da Terra Grande, 2 | Active | €840,000 | €865 | 78.4% | 80 | 65 |
| Median comp | €880,000 | €2,344 | 41.5% | 82 | 59 |
Long-term rental This property, listed at €1,045,000, exceeds the fair value of €676,719 by 54.4%, indicating it is overpriced for long-term rental purposes. With a gross yield of only 3.4%, the investment returns may not justify the elevated purchase price. Family rental While the property could accommodate a family, the significant 54.4% gap above fair value at €1,045,000 suggests it is overpriced for family rental situations. The moderate yield of 3.4% might deter potential renters looking for better value in the housing market. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy is negatively impacted by the property's excessive listing price of €1,045,000, which is 54.4% above the fair value of €676,719. In a suburban context with a neighbourhood rating of 64/100, the investment may not provide the long-term capital appreciation expected. Not ideal for: Student housing, Luxury market, Short-term vacation rental
Tenant turnover risk With both economic and tenant stability scores at 65/100, there's a heightened risk of tenant turnover impacting cash flow stability.
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