This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 137 m², energy rating E. Located on rua Geraldo e Casquinha, 2, Gâmbia-Pontes-Alto da Guerra parish, Setúbal municipality, Setúbal district. Unique Potential: This property includes an attic with conversion possibilities, allowing for the addition of extra living space in a desirable neighborhood with ample outdoor areas.
The valuation. The asking price of €299,000 sits €44,164 (17.3%) above the fair value of €254,836, indicating that the property is overpriced. Investors should approach with caution regarding the higher price point. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may face challenges due to the property's outdated condition, which would require significant renovations to achieve a competitive resale price. Therefore, substantial investment in upgrades would be necessary. Buy-to-let angle. The property could generate an estimated rental income of approximately €1,395 per month, yielding around 5.6%. This strategy would appeal to investors seeking long-term passive income despite the basic condition of the house.
Fair value modelled at €254,836 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €299,000 sits €44,164 (17.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €299,000 versus the rua Geraldo e Casquinha, 2 area baseline of €356,998 (€2,606/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 30/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €356,998, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €254,836 (€1,860/m²), a €44,164 (17.3%) gap versus the €299,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Geraldo e Casquinha, 2 | Subject | €299,000 | €2,182 | — | 25 | 52 |
| rua Dom Gonçalo Pinheiro, 36 | Active | €388,000 | €1,000 | 54.2% | — | 52 |
| Setúbal (São Sebastião) · dbd4b5 | Active | €200,000 | €1,325 | 39.3% | 15 | 47 |
| rua União das Freguesias de Setúbal | Active | €242,500 | €2,636 | 20.8% | 54 | 55 |
| azinhaga da Nova Sintra S / N | Active | €155,000 | €1,845 | 15.5% | — | 52 |
| Median comp | €221,250 | €1,585 | 27.4% | 35 | 52 |
Long-term rental The property in Gâmbia-Pontes-Alto da Guerra is overpriced at €299,000, significantly exceeding its fair value of €254,836 by 17.3%. With a gross yield of 5.6% and a condition score of only 30/100, this investment presents risks in both financial returns and property upkeep. Buy-and-hold While buying and holding the property may seem appealing due to its location near major employment zones, the 17.3% gap from fair value indicates poor investment timing. In addition, with a neighbourhood score of 52/100, the long-term potential for appreciation is less favorable, making this strategy less attractive. Not ideal for luxury market Given the current condition and community ratings, this property is highly unlikely to appeal to the luxury market. Buyers seeking premium homes will find value and quality far below what would be expected in this segment. Not ideal for short-term vacation rental The low condition rating and neighbourhood score highlight that this property falls short of attractive standard for short-term vacation rentals. Furthermore, the significant price disparity suggests that the market may not support profitable rental returns in this segment.
Low Economic Stability Risk The economic stability score of 50/100 indicates potential challenges in attracting and retaining tenants, which may affect rental income stability. Additionally, the tenant stability score of 65/100 shows moderate reliability, suggesting that tenant turnover could be a concern, thereby heightening financial risk.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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