This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 84 m², energy rating D. Located Samouco parish, Alcochete municipality, Setúbal district. This apartment includes a dedicated storage room and a parking space, enhancing convenience and organization in everyday living.
The valuation. The asking price of €249,500 is significantly above the fair value of €201,485, representing an overvaluation of €48,015 (23.8%). This discrepancy suggests that the property is not priced attractively in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may be considered, focusing on cosmetic upgrades to increase appeal and resale value. However, given the property's current overpricing, achieving a favorable profit margin upon resale could be challenging. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated gross yield of 3.9%, with projected rental income around €811 monthly, supports a buy-to-let strategy. This approach aims for stable cash flow, appealing to families seeking long-term rental solutions in the suburban area of Samouco, Alcochete.
Fair value modelled at €201,485 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €249,500 sits €48,015 (23.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €249,500 versus the Samouco, Alcochete, Setúbal area baseline of €185,241 (€2,205/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 65/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €185,241, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €201,485 (€2,399/m²), a €48,015 (23.8%) gap versus the €249,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samouco · a4661b | Subject | €249,500 | €2,970 | — | 68 | 75 |
| rua Mário Viegas, 17 | Active | €285,000 | €1,979 | 33.4% | 70 | 62 |
| Montijo e Afonsoeiro · 937651 | Active | €307,500 | €2,278 | 23.3% | 68 | 58 |
| rua Cidade de Beja S / N | Active | €289,900 | €2,319 | 21.9% | 75 | 54 |
| Montijo e Afonsoeiro · a79daa | Active | €320,000 | €3,200 | 7.7% | — | 62 |
| Median comp | €298,700 | €2,299 | 22.6% | 70 | 60 |
Long-term rental The 2-bed apartment in Samouco is currently overpriced by 23.8%, with a fair value of €201,485 compared to the listing price of €249,500. With a gross yield of only 3.9%, the return on investment is insufficient for a long-term rental strategy. Family rental Despite the suburban area's livability, the property is overpriced at €249,500, significantly exceeding the fair market value. The 3.9% yield and moderate condition score of 65/100 suggest that it might not attract families looking for value. Buy-and-hold With the property priced at €249,500, it falls 23.8% above its fair value, making it a poor candidate for a buy-and-hold strategy. The low yield of 3.9% further complicates the feasibility of generating a profitable long-term asset from this investment.
Economic Downturn Risk The strong economic stability score of 80/100 indicates resilience, but the tenant stability score of 75/100 suggests potential vulnerability to economic changes, risking increased vacancy rates during downturns.
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