This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 110 m², built in 1981, energy rating E. Located on rua do Moinho da Arroja, Odivelas parish, Odivelas municipality, Lisbon district. The property's substantial yard of 237.40 m² and outbuildings offer versatile options for outdoor recreation and storage, enhancing its appeal for families seeking space and privacy.
The asking price sits at €320,000, which is €82,000 or 25.7% above our estimated fair value of €238,000, showing a low confidence in this fair value assessment. The estimated gross yield is approximately 5.3%, providing context to the investment potential.
The fair value of this property is derived from a combination of two models. The Transaction model, based on 822 recorded sales in Odivelas, contributes 65%, while the Adjusted asking-price model, reflecting current listings, makes up 35%. Conservative adjustments, particularly for estimated works, show that the fair value is set at €238,000, which is 9.2% below the central estimate of €262,000. Given that the asking price is €320,000, the asking price is above the fair value by €82,000, translating to a 25.7% downside. This analysis comes with a low confidence level.
Gross yield 5.3% (before costs)
No specific strategy stands out for this property.
Investors should consider the significant discrepancy between the asking price of €320,000 and the fair value of €238,000, representing a 25.7% downside risk. The property’s condition scores only 55/100, indicating room for improvement, while its location is rated even lower at 50/100, suggesting potential challenges in desirability. Overall, the asking price is above the fair value, reflecting an overstated market position for this property.
Indicative, before costs, vacancy and management. Not investment advice.
Economic and tenant stability risk The economic stability score is 50/100 and the tenant stability score is also 50/100, suggesting a lack of stability in both areas which may impact rental income and property value negatively. Fair value certainty risk The fair value is €238,000 but the confidence is low, indicating significant uncertainty in the valuation, especially given the caveats that the asking price is below the fair value but with various discrepancies in estimated values.
Grade AFindings: 0
Confirmed findings from our checks of this listing. They inform; they do not change the valuation.
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Models 3.4.3 (Data quality v3 · Valuation v4.2 · Strategy v3.1)
Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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