This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 184 m², built in 2024, energy rating A+. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a 70m² terrace ideal for outdoor gatherings, while its strategic location offers a mere 30-minute commute to Lisbon and the International Airport.
The valuation. The asking price of €448,000 is significantly above the fair value of €383,335, placing it €64,665 (14.4%) overpriced in the current market. This renders the investment less appealing for buyers seeking value.
Fair value modelled at €383,335 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €448,000 sits €64,665 (14.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €448,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €764,152 (€4,153/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 78/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 78). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 57/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 60 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €764,152 + condition +€8,625 + location +€10,206 = modelled fair value of €383,335 (€2,083/m²), a €64,665 (14.4%) gap versus the €448,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 0239b7 | Subject | €448,000 | €2,435 | — | 75 | 57 |
| Mafra · f364f3 | Active | €549,450 | €2,923 | 20.0% | 80 | 51 |
| rua Domingos José Ferreira | Active | €790,000 | €2,358 | 3.1% | 83 | 57 |
| Ericeira · 96c60b | Active | €945,000 | €3,098 | 27.3% | — | 65 |
| Ericeira · 9569bc | Active | €825,000 | €4,125 | 69.4% | — | 54 |
| Median comp | €807,500 | €3,011 | 23.6% | 82 | 56 |
Long-term rental The property at €448,000 is overpriced compared to its fair value of €383,335, indicating a significant gap of 14.4%. With a gross yield of 0%, this investment lacks the potential for rental income and may not attract long-term tenants in a suburban area reliant on Lisbon for employment. Family rental Listing the house at €448,000 presents it as overpriced against the fair value of €383,335, which could deter potential family tenants seeking affordable housing. The neighbourhood's lower score of 57/100 suggests limited amenities and tenant quality, making it a less desirable option for families.
Economic Risk The economic stability score of 45/100 indicates a potential vulnerability to economic downturns that could impact rent collection and property value.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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