This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 188 m², built in 2025, energy rating B. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a modern suspended staircase with integrated LED lighting and a private terrace accessible from the master suite, offering unobstructed countryside views. Valuation Verdict: Fair.
The valuation. The asking price of €549,450 exceeds the fair value of €395,949 by €153,501, representing a 27.9% markup. Therefore, the property is overpriced and does not offer a favorable investment opportunity.
Fair value modelled at €395,949 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €549,450 sits €153,501 (27.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €549,450 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €605,360 (€3,220/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 51/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 55 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 50). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €605,360 + condition +€22,031 + location +€1,490 = modelled fair value of €395,949 (€2,106/m²), a €153,501 (27.9%) gap versus the €549,450 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · f364f3 | Subject | €549,450 | €2,923 | — | 80 | 51 |
| Ericeira · 0239b7 | Active | €448,000 | €2,435 | 16.7% | 75 | 57 |
| Ericeira · ba59ef | Active | €949,000 | €4,541 | 55.4% | 78 | 48 |
| Mafra · 96c62e | Active | €1,150,000 | €6,928 | 137.0% | 75 | 55 |
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Active | €560,000 | €2,569 | 12.1% | 85 | 53 |
| Median comp | €754,500 | €3,555 | 21.6% | 77 | 54 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced by 27.9% compared to its fair value, which may hinder its attractiveness to long-term tenants seeking affordable options. With a gross yield of only 4.5%, the investment return may not justify the current asking price in a mixed residential area. Family rental Given the residential nature of the area, this property could appeal to families; however, its asking price significantly exceeds fair value, resulting in a lack of competitive rental pricing. The average neighbourhood rating of 51/100 suggests limited amenities and tenant appeal, further complicating family rental prospects. Buy-and-hold While the buy-and-hold strategy typically benefits from property appreciation, the current pricing at €549,450 presents a high entry point that is 27.9% over fair value. The 83/100 condition rating is a positive aspect, yet the inflated price may deter investors looking for future capital gains in a semi-rural setting. Not ideal for Luxury market, Student housing, Short-term vacation rental.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk The low economic stability score of 50/100 combined with a tenant stability score of 50/100 indicates a higher likelihood of fluctuating rental incomes and potential vacancies, which can adversely affect cash flow and investment returns.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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