This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom duplex of 130 m², energy rating B. Located Belém parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This duplex boasts an intelligent layout that separates the vibrant social areas from tranquil private quarters, enhanced by stunning Tagus River views and abundant natural light.
The valuation. The asking price of €950,000 exceeds the fair value of €591,671 by €358,329, indicating that the property is overpriced by 37.7%. This suggests a lack of competitive pricing in the current market.
Fair value modelled at €591,671 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €950,000 sits €358,329 (37.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €950,000 versus the Belém, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €702,650 (€5,405/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 81/100 (Housing Market 85 · Amenities 85 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Belém, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €702,650 + condition +€16,250 + location +€63,481 = modelled fair value of €591,671 (€4,551/m²), a €358,329 (37.7%) gap versus the €950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belém · 6d544f | Subject | €950,000 | €7,308 | — | 80 | 81 |
| Estrela · 2620e9 | Active | €747,500 | €7,119 | 2.6% | 85 | 75 |
| rua Arco do Chafariz das Terras | Active | €1,655,000 | €7,770 | 6.3% | 75 | 75 |
| rua João Bastos, 5 | Active | €650,000 | €5,909 | 19.1% | 80 | 78 |
| Estrela · 99f374 | Active | €1,390,000 | €6,950 | 4.9% | 85 | 80 |
| Median comp | €1,068,750 | €7,035 | 3.7% | 83 | 77 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed duplex in Belém is overpriced at €950,000, presenting a significant 37.7% gap from its fair value of €591,671, thus limiting potential long-term rental yields which stand at only 2.8% gross. Although the property is in a suburb with good transport connections, the elevated price diminishes its attractiveness for sustained rental income. Family rental With a fair price of €591,671, the current listing at €950,000 is 37.7% above fair value, making this property less favorable for family rentals given its low yield of 2.8%. While the neighborhood receives an 81/100 rating and offers essential amenities, the overpriced nature of this duplex likely deters potential family tenants looking for value. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy is undermined by the property’s significant overvaluation, with a price tag of €950,000 that represents a 37.7% markup over its fair value of €591,671. Even though the area's transport links and neighborhood rating are appealing, the 2.8% gross yield does not justify the initial investment in the face of such pricing. Not ideal for Short-term vacation rental, Student housing
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 75/100 indicates a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could result in increased vacancy rates and associated costs for the property.
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