This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 187 m², built in 2026, energy rating D. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The house includes a spacious raised terrace equipped for a barbecue, perfect for hosting gatherings while enjoying stunning sunset views over the tranquil countryside. Condition: Fully renovated in 2026, with meticulous attention to high-quality finishes and modern design elements throughout.
The valuation. The asking price of €560,000 stands €155,764 (27.8%) above the fair value of €404,236, indicating the property is overpriced. A more competitive pricing strategy is recommended to align with market expectations.
Fair value modelled at €404,236 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €560,000 sits €155,764 (27.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €560,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €813,263 (€4,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 59/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 60 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €813,263 + condition +€20,453 + location +€13,336 = modelled fair value of €404,236 (€2,162/m²), a €155,764 (27.8%) gap versus the €560,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 0dcd6d | Subject | €560,000 | €2,995 | — | 80 | 59 |
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Active | €560,000 | €2,569 | 14.2% | 80 | 52 |
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Active | €560,000 | €2,569 | 14.2% | 85 | 53 |
| Ericeira · de0bcc | Active | €650,000 | €3,171 | 5.9% | 71 | 59 |
| Ericeira · 956ab1 | Active | €550,000 | €3,395 | 13.4% | 70 | 50 |
| Median comp | €560,000 | €2,870 | 4.2% | 76 | 53 |
Long-term rental The property, listed at €560,000, exceeds the fair value of €404,236 by 27.8%, indicating it is overpriced for long-term rental investments. With a gross yield of only 3.4% and a neighbourhood score of 59/100, the potential return on investment is limited. Buy-and-hold Considering the significant gap between the listing price and the fair value, this property is overpriced for a buy-and-hold strategy. Its relatively low yield of 3.4%, alongside a decent condition rating of 82/100, does not justify the investment in a market with limited growth dynamics. Family rental With the property priced at €560,000 against a fair value of €404,236, it is overpriced for family rental purposes. The modest yield of 3.4% and the neighbourhood rating of 59/100 suggest that appealing to family renters may not yield substantial returns in this market.
Economic downturn risk With both economic and tenant stability scores at 60/100, the property faces heightened risk from potential economic downturns impacting tenant ability to pay rent and overall market demand.
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