This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom villa of 218 m², built in 1990, energy rating D. Located on rua do Vale Caeiro, 3, Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa features a 44 m² living room with a fireplace, creating a cozy ambiance for winter gatherings while offering abundant natural light year-round. Additional Benefits: Private parking includes pre-installation for electric vehicles, emphasizing its modern convenience. Location Advantage: Just five minutes from the Atlantic and accessible transport links to Lisbon, enhancing both leisure and commuting options.
The valuation. The asking price of €560,000 exceeds the fair value of €458,135 by €101,865 (18.2%), indicating that the property is overpriced. This discrepancy suggests a potential negotiation opportunity for discerning investors.
Fair value modelled at €458,135 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €560,000 sits €101,865 (18.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €560,000 versus the rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 area baseline of €948,082 (€4,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 84 · Room dimensions 78). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 52/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 50 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 50). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua do Vale Caeiro, 3
Area baseline €948,082 + condition +€22,822 + location +€3,455 = modelled fair value of €458,135 (€2,102/m²), a €101,865 (18.2%) gap versus the €560,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Subject | €560,000 | €2,569 | — | 80 | 52 |
| Ericeira · 0dcd6d | Active | €560,000 | €2,995 | 16.6% | 80 | 59 |
| Ericeira · de0bcc | Active | €650,000 | €3,171 | 23.4% | 71 | 59 |
| Ericeira · 65a63c | Active | €575,000 | €3,783 | 47.3% | 68 | 51 |
| Ericeira · 956ab1 | Active | €550,000 | €3,395 | 32.2% | 70 | 50 |
| Median comp | €567,500 | €3,283 | 27.8% | 71 | 55 |
Long-term rental Given the property's listing price of €560,000, it is already 18.2% above its fair value of €458,135, indicating it's overpriced in the current market. With a gross yield of just 3.8% and a neighbourhood quality score of 52/100, this property may not generate ideal returns for long-term rental investors. Buy-and-hold At €560,000, the villa is overvalued relative to its fair worth of €458,135, suggesting it may not appreciate sufficiently to justify the investment. Additionally, the estate yields a modest 3.8% while located in a neighbourhood scoring only 52/100, making it a less attractive option for long-term buy-and-hold strategies.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk The property faces a significant risk due to a low economic stability score of 60/100 and a tenant stability score of 50/100, indicating potential challenges in maintaining consistent rental income and occupancy rates.
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