This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
1-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 53 m², energy rating D. Located on rua Manuel Soares Guedes, 16, Arroios parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This apartment includes a vertical built-in closet in the corridor, adding valuable storage space while maintaining an open and functional layout.
The valuation. The asking price of €243,000 is significantly above the fair value of €41,075, resulting in an overpriced verdict of €201,925 (83.1%). This indicates that the property does not present a favorable investment opportunity.
Fair value modelled at €41,075 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €243,000 sits €201,925 (83.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €243,000 versus the rua Manuel Soares Guedes, 16 area baseline of €259,435 (€4,895/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 (Condition 82 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 81/100 (Housing Market 90 · Amenities 90 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Manuel Soares Guedes, 16
Area baseline €259,435 + condition +€4,141 + location +€4,075 = modelled fair value of €41,075 (€775/m²), a €201,925 (83.1%) gap versus the €243,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Manuel Soares Guedes, 16 | Subject | €243,000 | €4,585 | — | 82 | 81 |
| Arroios · 00196f | Active | €325,000 | €5,508 | 20.1% | 75 | 85 |
| rua da Regueira, 82 | Active | €259,000 | €6,816 | 48.7% | 78 | 91 |
| Campolide · 6d5576 | Active | €299,000 | €5,155 | 12.4% | 78 | 84 |
| rua de São Paulo | Active | €550,000 | €6,395 | 39.5% | 77 | 84 |
| Median comp | €312,000 | €5,952 | 29.8% | 78 | 85 |
Long-term rental The 1-bed apartment in Arroios is not a suitable option for long-term rental due to its significant price of €243,000 which is 83.1% above its fair value of €41,075. While the yield of 5.4% gross may seem appealing, the excessive pricing ultimately undermines the investment's potential viability. Short-term vacation rental Investing in this property for short-term vacation rentals is questionable, considering its listing price of €243,000, which is substantially inflated compared to the fair value of €41,075. Despite the neighborhood's high rating of 81/100, the oversized gap from fair value diminishes the expected returns from this strategy. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy for the Arroios apartment is not favorable given its current market price of €243,000, which clearly exceeds the fair value of €41,075 by 83.1%. Although the property is in a prime location, the overpricing negates the long-term capital appreciation potential typically sought in such strategies.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 55/100 indicates a potential risk of high turnover rates, which may lead to increased vacancy periods and associated costs.
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