This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 220 m², energy rating B. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa boasts a unique outdoor leisure area featuring a pool and wooden deck, perfect for relaxation and entertaining while maintaining privacy amidst lush landscaping.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,600,000 is significantly above the fair value of €1,220,803, representing a disparity of €1,379,197 (53.0%). Verdict: overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy here could focus on cosmetic updates, leveraging the high-end finishes in a strong market to appeal to buyers seeking modern living spaces. Buy-to-let angle. The property’s estimated gross yield of 2.2% (approximately €4,767/month) suggests a long-term rental strategy is feasible, given the high demand in the area due to Lisbon's proximity.
Fair value modelled at €1,220,803 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,600,000 sits €1,379,197 (53.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,600,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,088,780 (€4,949/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 83). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 74/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,088,780 + condition +€27,500 + location +€104,523 = modelled fair value of €1,220,803 (€5,549/m²), a €1,379,197 (53.0%) gap versus the €2,600,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · cfe14e | Subject | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | — | 80 | 74 |
| avenida Castelhana, 7 | Active | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 0% | 80 | 80 |
| avenida Sabóia | Active | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 0% | 75 | 62 |
| avenida Lago, 510 | Active | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 0% | 78 | 75 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e615b | Active | €6,000,000 | €11,538 | 2.4% | 80 | 75 |
| Median comp | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 0% | 79 | 75 |
Long-term rental While the property’s location near Lisbon offers potential for economic stability, its current listing price of €2,600,000 represents a 53.0% gap above fair value at €1,220,803. With a gross yield of just 2.2%, the return on investment does not justify the entry cost, making it less favorable for long-term rental strategies. Family rental This 5-bed house, although well-positioned in a desirable neighborhood, is currently overpriced at €2,600,000 compared to the fair value of €1,220,803, indicating a significant valuation discrepancy. The modest yield of 2.2% further suggests that potential family renters may be deterred by the high rental price in relation to the expected returns. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable given its inflated price of €2,600,000 which is significantly above the fair value of €1,220,803. The low gross yield of 2.2% highlights that holding this asset may not yield satisfactory long-term appreciation or cash flow, making it a risky investment choice.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 70/100, there's a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could lead to increased vacancy rates and associated costs in maintaining cash flow.
