This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 66 m², energy rating D. Located on avenida João Paulo II, Sesimbra (Castelo) parish, Sesimbra municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The living room's innovative layout allows for flexible use as an additional small bedroom, perfect for guests or a home office, optimizing space in this urban retreat.
The valuation. The asking price of €235,000 is significantly above its fair value of €193,749, leaving a gap of €41,251 (17.6%). This property is considered overpriced and may not attract savvy investors seeking value. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy could involve quick renovations, primarily cosmetic, to enhance its appeal and potentially resell it for a higher price, but the current overvaluation limits profitability. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €685 per month, the gross yield of 3.5% indicates a modest return on investment, making it more suitable for long-term holds rather than immediate cash flow.
Fair value modelled at €193,749 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €235,000 sits €41,251 (17.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €235,000 versus the avenida João Paulo II area baseline of €186,846 (€2,831/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 79/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 78). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 61/100 (Housing Market 65 · Amenities 55 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
avenida João Paulo II
Area baseline €186,846 + condition +€4,125 + location +€7,992 = modelled fair value of €193,749 (€2,936/m²), a €41,251 (17.6%) gap versus the €235,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avenida João Paulo II | Subject | €235,000 | €3,561 | — | 80 | 61 |
| Sesimbra (Castelo) · 0dcd71 | Active | €279,000 | €3,671 | 3.1% | 76 | 62 |
| rua do Casalão, 31 | Active | €315,000 | €3,088 | 13.3% | 77 | 58 |
| Median comp | €297,000 | €3,380 | 5.1% | 77 | 60 |
Long-term rental The property in Sesimbra is currently priced at €235,000, which is 17.6% above its fair value of €193,749. With a gross yield of only 3.5%, the investment is likely to underperform in a long-term rental strategy in this neighborhood. Family rental With the ongoing demand for family homes, this property could seem appealing; however, at €235,000, it is overpriced compared to the fair value of €193,749. The yield of 3.5% does not justify the higher price, making it a less attractive option for families seeking value. Buy-and-hold Investing in this 2-bed apartment at an asking price of €235,000 poses a risk, as it sits 17.6% above fair value at €193,749. The potential for appreciation appears limited in a neighborhood rated 61/100, suggesting that this property may not deliver the expected returns in a buy-and-hold strategy.
Economic Vulnerability The property has an economic stability score of 60/100, indicating a potential risk of fluctuating market conditions that could impact rental income. Tenant Insecurity With a tenant stability score of 65/100, there is a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could lead to intermittent vacancies and reduced cash flow.
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