This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom chalet of 450 m², energy rating F. Located Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim parish, Sintra municipality, Lisbon district. Unique Features: The property includes a separate T2 residence with a traditional rustic character, offering additional guest accommodation alongside extensive, expertly designed gardens featuring centenary trees and a serene pond.
The valuation. The asking price of €4,850,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €1,103,069, representing a discrepancy of €3,746,931 (77.3%). This property is therefore categorized as overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. Given the high asking price, a buy-to-flip strategy would require significant renovations to increase perceived value before resale, but current market conditions do not support a profitable flip. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €4,850/month results in a gross yield of only 1.2%, making it a less attractive option for long-term rental income compared to other investments in the area.
Fair value modelled at €1,103,069 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €4,850,000 sits €3,746,931 (77.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €4,850,000 versus the Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim, Sintra, Lisbon area baseline of €1,337,400 (€2,972/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 82). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 71/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim, Sintra, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,337,400 + condition +€56,250 + location +€81,119 = modelled fair value of €1,103,069 (€2,451/m²), a €3,746,931 (77.3%) gap versus the €4,850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim · 4a7e9d | Subject | €4,850,000 | €10,778 | — | 80 | 71 |
| rua Soto Maior, 33 | Active | €3,900,000 | €9,049 | 16.0% | 80 | 69 |
| rua Soto Maior, 20 | Active | €3,900,000 | €9,049 | 16.0% | 85 | 69 |
| travessa Leão de Oliveira | Active | €830,000 | €3,860 | 64.2% | 76 | 68 |
| Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim · f36140 | Active | €1,790,000 | €4,509 | 58.2% | 75 | 64 |
| Median comp | €2,845,000 | €6,779 | 37.1% | 78 | 69 |
Family rental The property, priced at €4,850,000, significantly exceeds its fair value of €1,103,069, indicating it is overpriced by 77.3%. With a low gross yield of 1.2%, this investment may not attract long-term tenants seeking value for money in a competitive rental market. Long-term rental At €4,850,000, the chalet's price reflects a 77.3% gap from its fair value of €1,103,069, suggesting it is overpriced and lacks investment appeal for long-term rental purposes. The gross yield of only 1.2% further undermines its potential as a profitable long-term rental investment in the Greater Lisbon area. Buy-and-hold The valuation of €4,850,000 demonstrates a considerable 77.3% disparity from the fair value of €1,103,069, revealing that the property is overpriced for a buy-and-hold strategy. Additionally, the relatively low gross yield of 1.2% diminishes the attractiveness of holding this property for future appreciation over time.
Economic Impact Risk The economic stability score of 70/100 suggests a moderate risk of fluctuating market conditions that could impact rental income stability. Tenant Impact Risk Similarly, a tenant stability score of 70/100 indicates a potential risk of tenant turnover or vacancies that might affect consistent cash flow.
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