This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 264 m², built in 1977, energy rating D. Located Rio de Mouro parish, Sintra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a decorative pond and mature garden with fruit trees, enhancing its serene ambiance and providing unique landscaping opportunities.
The valuation. The asking price of €850,000 is significantly above the fair value of €534,180, representing an overpricing of €315,820 or 37.2%. This property is not aligned with current market expectations and should be reconsidered. Buy-to-flip angle. The flipped resale strategy could leverage the house's decent location in Rio de Mouro, expecting to invest in updates to its outdated finishes to enhance appeal and generate profit. Aiming for a resale could target a price that covers renovation costs plus profit margin. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 2.6%, the rental income strategy would involve leasing to families seeking proximity to Lisbon amenities. An estimated monthly rent of €1,842 provides steady cash flow but is relatively low compared to total investment.
Fair value modelled at €534,180 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €850,000 sits €315,820 (37.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €850,000 versus the Rio de Mouro, Sintra, Lisbon area baseline of €757,944 (€2,871/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 63/100 (Condition 65 · Materials 60 · Room dimensions 65). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 80/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 80 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 80). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Rio de Mouro, Sintra, Lisbon
Area baseline €757,944 + condition -€51,563 + location +€62,758 = modelled fair value of €534,180 (€2,023/m²), a €315,820 (37.2%) gap versus the €850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio de Mouro · 6fb964 | Subject | €850,000 | €3,220 | — | 65 | 80 |
| Algueirão-Mem Martins · 6d5564 | Active | €625,000 | €6,793 | 111.0% | 70 | 68 |
| rua Minhoto, 21 | Active | €479,000 | €4,696 | 45.9% | 72 | 69 |
| União das Freguesias do Cacém e São Marcos · 937593 | Active | €385,000 | €3,105 | 3.6% | 62 | 70 |
| rua Dom Francisco de Almeida, 33 | Active | €490,000 | €2,849 | 11.5% | 70 | 69 |
| Median comp | €484,500 | €3,901 | 21.1% | 70 | 69 |
Long-term rental The property is currently overpriced at €850,000 compared to the fair value of €534,180, indicating a significant potential loss for long-term rental investors. With a gross yield of only 2.6%, the investment isn't aligned with the risks associated with prolonged vacancies or market fluctuations. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy for this property appears risky as it is listed at 37.2% above fair value, potentially limiting future appreciation. While the neighborhood has a favorable score of 80/100, the current pricing makes it a challenging investment for capital growth. Family rental Although the neighborhood is well-rated, the property's overpriced status at €850,000 suggests that family renters may not find it a viable option. With a good condition score of 63/100, the price does not reflect market realities, making this less attractive for families looking for affordable housing options.
Market Vulnerability The property may face economic downturns with a stability score of 80/100, posing a risk to ongoing tenant demand and potential rental income.
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