This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 256 m², energy rating A. Located on rua das Orquideas, Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a distinct sauna cabin on the terrace and an expansive garden, enhancing its appeal as a luxurious retreat in a coastal setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,250,000 sits significantly above its fair value of €545,222, representing an overshoot of €704,778 (56.4%). Verdict: overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €545,222 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,250,000 sits €704,778 (56.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,250,000 versus the rua das Orquideas area baseline of €1,063,168 (€4,153/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 84 · Materials 87 · Room dimensions 84). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 53/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 45 · Economic 55 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua das Orquideas
Area baseline €1,063,168 + condition +€32,000 + location +€6,086 = modelled fair value of €545,222 (€2,130/m²), a €704,778 (56.4%) gap versus the €1,250,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua das Orquideas | Subject | €1,250,000 | €4,883 | — | 84 | 53 |
| Mafra · f364f3 | Active | €549,450 | €2,923 | 40.1% | 80 | 51 |
| rua Domingos José Ferreira | Active | €790,000 | €2,358 | 51.7% | 83 | 57 |
| Ericeira · 0239b7 | Active | €448,000 | €2,435 | 50.1% | 75 | 57 |
| rua Joaquim Almeida Marrão | Active | €920,000 | €2,329 | 52.3% | 75 | 59 |
| Median comp | €669,725 | €2,397 | 50.9% | 78 | 57 |
Long-term rental This property presents a significant gap of 56.4% above its fair value of €545,222, resulting in a gross yield of 0%. Additionally, the neighbourhood's low rating of 53/100 suggests limited tenant quality, making long-term rental an inferior strategy. Buy-and-hold With a market listing of €1,250,000 and a fair value substantially lower, the potential for appreciation in this location appears minimal, particularly with the lack of demand indicators. Furthermore, the neighbourhood's rural characteristics and below-average amenities limit the attractiveness for future buyers, rendering this strategy less viable. Not ideal for Given the current overvaluation and low yield, this property is not suitable for short-term vacation rental or targeting the luxury market, where high returns are expected. The combination of pricing and location context does not support these strategies effectively.
Economic Vulnerability The property has a moderately low economic stability score of 55/100, indicating potential susceptibility to economic downturns which could affect rental income. Tenant Risk With a tenant stability score of 60/100, there is an elevated risk of tenant turnover, impacting cash flow and increasing vacancy periods.
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