This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 265 m², built in 2013, energy rating D. Located Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim parish, Sintra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Feature: This villa offers exclusive access to a 27-hole golf course within the gated community, enhancing its appeal to recreational sports enthusiasts and ensuring a luxurious lifestyle. Location: Set in a tranquil area surrounded by nature, it provides a unique living experience in closeness to the 5-star Penha Longa Resort.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,000,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €614,196, placing it at €1,385,804 (69.3%) overpriced. This suggests an unappealing investment opportunity given the considerable disparity.
Fair value modelled at €614,196 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,000,000 sits €1,385,804 (69.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,000,000 versus the Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim, Sintra, Lisbon area baseline of €820,970 (€3,098/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 75). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 66/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 65 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim, Sintra, Lisbon
Area baseline €820,970 + condition +€9,109 + location +€36,396 = modelled fair value of €614,196 (€2,318/m²), a €1,385,804 (69.3%) gap versus the €2,000,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim · 91165e | Subject | €2,000,000 | €7,547 | — | 75 | 66 |
| travessa Leão de Oliveira | Active | €830,000 | €3,860 | 48.8% | 76 | 68 |
| Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim · 4a7d60 | Active | €1,250,000 | €5,020 | 33.5% | 68 | 76 |
| rua António dos Reis | Active | €749,900 | €2,343 | 68.9% | 75 | 72 |
| Santa Maria e São Miguel, São Martinho e São Pedro de Penaferrim · dee650 | Active | €674,000 | €2,893 | 61.7% | 74 | 75 |
| Median comp | €789,950 | €3,377 | 55.3% | 75 | 74 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced at €2,000,000 given the fair value of €614,196, indicating a substantial gap of 69.3%. This will likely hinder long-term rental yields, currently at a gross rate of only 3.2%. Family rental With a listing price significantly above the fair value, the property may struggle to attract family renters who are budget-conscious in the market. The existing gross yield of 3.2% suggests that monthly rental income may not justify the high initial investment. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property is not advisable as it is priced excessively compared to its fair value, which could result in long-term holding costs outweighing potential returns. The current market dynamics indicate that the yield of 3.2% does not compensate for the risk associated with such an overpriced asset.
Tenant instability risk The combined economic and tenant stability scores of 60/100 and 65/100 suggest an elevated risk of tenant turnover and income variability, which could impact overall property performance.
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