This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 220 m², built in 2009, energy rating C. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property boasts a covered terrace with a barbecue area perfect for entertaining, offering an attractive outdoor space amidst its urban location.
The valuation. The asking price of €665,000 is significantly above the fair value of €463,541, indicating an overvaluation of €201,459, or 30.3%. This suggests the property does not represent a favorable purchase at the current listing price.
Fair value modelled at €541,208 from 2 comparable sales in the area. Asking €665,000 sits €123,792 (22.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €665,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €603,921 (€2,758/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €603,921, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €541,208 (€2,471/m²), a €123,792 (22.9%) gap versus the €665,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · fe6420 | Subject | €665,000 | €3,037 | — | 76 | 59 |
| Ericeira · e3aab8 | Active | €647,000 | €2,914 | 4.0% | 82 | 56 |
| rua Pinhal dos Frades | Active | €649,000 | €2,028 | 33.2% | 70 | — |
| Median comp | €648,000 | €2,471 | 18.6% | 76 | 56 |
Long-term rental The property in Ericeira is overpriced with a listing price of €665,000 compared to a fair value of €463,541, indicating a significant gap of 30.3%. With a gross yield of only 3.6% and a neighbourhood score of 59/100, the potential returns on a long-term rental strategy are not compelling. Buy-and-hold Buying this property at €665,000 does not align with a successful buy-and-hold strategy, given its fair value assessment suggests it is overpriced by 30.3%. Additionally, the limited economic activity in the area and a housing condition score of 79/100 further lessen the appeal for long-term capital appreciation.
Economic Vulnerability The property faces significant risk due to low economic stability (50/100), indicating potential fluctuations in market conditions that could adversely affect rental income. Tenant Stability With a tenant stability score of 60/100, there is a concern regarding the reliability and longevity of current tenants, which may lead to increased turnover and vacancy rates.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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