This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 198 m², built in 2013, energy rating C. Located on urbanização Vale da Lama, Odiáxere parish, Lagos municipality, Faro district. Noteworthy Features: This villa offers a covered barbecue area and a basement that can be converted into additional living space, enhancing its overall value and versatility.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,250,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €695,455, resulting in an overvaluation of €554,545, or 79.7%. The property is classified as overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €695,455 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,250,000 sits €554,545 (79.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,250,000 versus the urbanização Vale da Lama area baseline of €570,241 (€2,880/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €570,241, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €695,455 (€3,512/m²), a €554,545 (79.7%) gap versus the €1,250,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| urbanização Vale da Lama | Subject | €1,250,000 | €6,313 | — | 76 | 67 |
| Mexilhoeira Grande · 956c8c | Active | €549,000 | €4,323 | 31.5% | 74 | 70 |
| jardim da Meia Praia, 20 | Active | €565,000 | €4,414 | 30.1% | 75 | 76 |
| Mexilhoeira Grande · f35d95 | Active | €550,000 | €2,941 | 53.4% | 74 | 73 |
| jardim da Meia Praia | Active | €425,000 | €3,512 | 44.4% | 75 | 73 |
| Median comp | €549,500 | €3,918 | 37.9% | 75 | 73 |
Short-term vacation rental The 3-bed villa in Odiáxere, Lagos is overpriced by 79.7%, limiting its attractiveness for short-term vacation rental opportunities despite the strong tourist demand in the Algarve. With a gross yield of only 2.3%, the current price makes it challenging to achieve a profitable return on investment in this competitive market. Long-term rental At a listing price of €1,250,000, the villa fails to present a compelling long-term rental opportunity due to its significant gap from fair value, which is €695,455. With a neighbourhood quality rating of 67/100, the investment does not align with the attractive long-term rental prospects typically associated with the region. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is inadvisable given its excessive pricing of €1,250,000 compared to a fair value of €695,455, which suggests limited upside potential. The condition rating of 80/100 may seem favorable, yet it does not compensate for the high price, weakening the long-term investment case.
Low Economic Resilience The economic stability score of 60 may indicate potential vulnerability to economic downturns, which could affect tenant retention and rental income. Low Tenant Retention With a tenant stability score of 65, there may be a higher risk of turnover, leading to increased vacancy periods and costs.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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