This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 200 m², built in 2002, energy rating B. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property features a garage with an automatic door and a traditional wood oven and barbecue in the garden, perfect for outdoor entertaining.
The valuation. The asking price of €800,000 is €44,828 (5.3%) below the fair value of €844,828, indicating this property is priced fairly within the current market conditions. Buy-to-flip angle. The strategy for this property could involve a quick resale targeting premium buyers, capitalizing on its desirable features and suburban location. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 3.1%, the property offers a monthly rental income of approximately €2,067, making it a viable long-term rental investment option.
Fair value modelled at €844,828 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €800,000 sits €44,828 (5.3%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €800,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €857,163 (€4,286/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €857,163, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €844,828 (€4,224/m²), a €44,828 (5.3%) gap versus the €800,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 19f44a | Subject | €800,000 | €4,000 | — | 78 | 57 |
| Carvoeira · 4a45ed | Active | €1,045,000 | €4,004 | 0.1% | 80 | 64 |
| Carvoeira · 65308a | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.1% | 75 | 57 |
| Ericeira · b7c1c9 | Active | €1,160,000 | €2,982 | 25.4% | 85 | 59 |
| autoestrada A21 | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.1% | 74 | 57 |
| Median comp | €922,500 | €4,224 | 5.6% | 78 | 58 |
Long-term rental The property offers a gross yield of 3.1%, which aligns with the fair value assessment, indicating it could serve as a stable long-term rental investment. However, with the neighbourhood scoring 57/100, investor demand may be moderate, potentially impacting rental growth prospects. Buy-and-hold Acquiring this property at the listing price of €800,000 reflects a fair market value, suggesting potential for modest appreciation over time. While the condition is rated at 80/100, the suburban location may limit overall demand compared to urban areas, affecting long-term asset appreciation prospects. Family rental The property’s configuration as a 4-bedroom house is conducive for family rentals, appealing to a demographic seeking suburban living. Nevertheless, the neighbourhood rating of 57/100 indicates some limitations in attraction for families who may prioritize amenities and quality of life, suggesting a careful assessment of tenant retention and demand. Not ideal for Luxury market Given the fair valuation at €800,000, the property does not position itself as a competitive offering within the luxury market. The condition scoring 80/100 may further diminish its appeal to high-end buyers seeking premium characteristics. Not ideal for Student housing With the suburban setting and a neighbourhood rating of 57/100, this property may struggle to attract students who often prefer urban locales with vibrant communities. The fair value assessment reinforces the notion that pricing may not align with the typical demand from a student rental market. Not ideal for Short-term vacation rental The property’s location outside the Lisbon metropolitan area may deter short-term vacation rental interest, despite the fair pricing. Additionally, the lower neighbourhood score suggests limited tourism appeal, further impacting the viability of a short-term rental strategy.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk The property may face challenges due to a low economic stability score of 50/100 and a moderate tenant stability score of 60/100, indicating potential volatility in rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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