This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 160 m², built in 2002, energy rating B. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a well-structured garden design with designated social spaces and is equipped with a barbecue area, perfect for entertaining in a serene environment.
The valuation. The asking price of €800,000 sits above the fair value of €711,111 by €88,889 (12.5%). This property is deemed overpriced given its current market position and valuation analysis.
Fair value modelled at €711,111 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €800,000 sits €88,889 (12.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €800,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €791,076 (€4,944/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €791,076, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €711,111 (€4,444/m²), a €88,889 (12.5%) gap versus the €800,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 831751 | Subject | €800,000 | €5,000 | — | 75 | 59 |
| Carvoeira · 62282a | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.1% | 72 | 59 |
| Carvoeira · f14df1 | Active | €800,000 | €5,000 | 0% | 73 | 53 |
| Carvoeira · 19075a | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.1% | 74 | 61 |
| Carvoeira · 65308a | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.1% | 75 | 57 |
| Median comp | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.1% | 74 | 58 |
Long-term rental The property is priced at €800,000, which is 12.5% above its fair value of €711,111, signaling that it is overpriced. Furthermore, with a gross yield of only 3.6% and a neighbourhood quality score of 59/100, the long-term rental potential may not meet investment expectations. Family rental At €800,000, this 4-bed house is considered overpriced compared to its fair value of €711,111, highlighting a significant gap for potential family renters. Given the condition rating of 81/100, while suitable for families, the yield of 3.6% does not offer compelling returns for this strategy. Short-term vacation rental Priced at €800,000, the property is significantly overpriced, as it exceeds the fair value of €711,111. With a low yield of 3.6% and a neighbourhood rating of just 59/100, it lacks the appeal needed for a successful short-term rental investment. Luxury market The current listing of €800,000 indicates that the property is overpriced, reflecting a 12.5% gap from its fair value of €711,111. Given its modest condition rating and suburban location, this property is not well-suited to the luxury market.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk With both economic and tenant stability scores at 60/100, there is a heightened risk of fluctuating income and potential vacancy issues, indicating a less secure investment environment.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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