This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 980 m². Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a private garden with a variety of fruit and olive trees, and a custom terrace creating multiple outdoor living environments. Price: €1,950,000.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,950,000 sits significantly below the fair value of €7,635,178, representing a savings of €5,685,178 (74.5%). Verdict: underpriced.
Fair value modelled at €7,635,178 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,950,000 sits €5,685,178 (74.5%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €1,950,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €7,150,437 (€7,296/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €7,150,437, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €7,635,178 (€7,791/m²), a €5,685,178 (74.5%) gap versus the €1,950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 133aea | Subject | €1,950,000 | €1,990 | — | 77 | 46 |
| Carvalhal · 6a9456 | Active | €1,150,000 | €7,616 | 282.7% | 85 | 49 |
| Comporta · 65a80a | Active | €1,600,000 | €5,316 | 167.1% | 78 | 42 |
| Carvalhal · 6a92c4 | Active | €1,410,000 | €7,966 | 300.3% | 78 | 50 |
| Carvalhal · 3a7302 | Active | €1,780,000 | €9,889 | 397.0% | 80 | 42 |
| Median comp | €1,505,000 | €7,791 | 291.5% | 79 | 46 |
Long-term rental The property presents an attractive opportunity for long-term rental given its significant gap to fair value of 74.5%, suggesting a potential for solid returns in the future. However, the neighbourhood's low score of 46/100 may limit tenant quality and overall demand. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a buy-and-hold strategy could yield substantial equity growth, considering its current market price is significantly undervalued relative to the fair value. Despite its promising upside, the area's limited amenities and rural nature may pose challenges to long-term tenant retention and appreciation.
Economic Vulnerability With an economic stability score of 35/100, there is a significant risk that poor local economic conditions could lead to reduced tenant demand and increased vacancy rates.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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