This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 203 m², built in 1945, energy rating E. Located on rua Cândido Guerreiro, 5, Areeiro parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a versatile basement with additional kitchen and bathroom, perfect for guest accommodation or a home office, enhancing its functional living space.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,300,000 is €43,767 (3.5%) above the fair value of €1,256,233, placing it within a reasonable range and suggesting that the property is priced fairly for its quality and location. Buy-to-flip angle. Given the current conditions and finishes, a buy-to-flip strategy could potentially realize a profit through targeted renovations, appealing to high-end buyers in this desirable Areeiro neighborhood. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €2,708 per month translates to a gross yield of 2.5%, making this an attractive option for long-term rentals in a central Lisbon location appealing to both tourists and business professionals.
Fair value modelled at €1,256,233 from 3 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,300,000 sits €43,767 (3.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,300,000 versus the rua Cândido Guerreiro, 5 area baseline of €980,510 (€4,830/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €980,510, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,256,233 (€6,188/m²), a €43,767 (3.5%) gap versus the €1,300,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Cândido Guerreiro, 5 | Subject | €1,300,000 | €6,404 | — | 78 | 84 |
| Penha de França · 0014fa | Active | €745,000 | €3,433 | 46.4% | 78 | 81 |
| Olivais · 65308b | Active | €1,380,000 | €6,188 | 3.4% | 75 | 76 |
| rua Tomás Borba | Active | €1,600,000 | €10,390 | 62.2% | 78 | 90 |
| Median comp | €1,380,000 | €6,188 | 3.4% | 78 | 81 |
Long-term rental This property in Areeiro offers a relatively fair value with a minimal gap of 3.5% from the fair valuation of €1,256,233. The 2.5% gross yield is reflective of the area's high tenant quality and desirable amenities, yet it suggests that rental returns may not exceed the property’s pricing in a competitive market. Short-term vacation rental With central Lisbon's appeal for tourism and business travel, this property stands in a favorable location for short-term rental opportunities. However, the current valuation at €1,300,000 indicates that while it holds excellent potential, it does not stand out as an undervalued asset in the market. Buy-and-hold Given the steady demand and the neighborhood's overall quality, the property in Areeiro represents a reasonable buy-and-hold strategy. The fair valuation suggests that while appreciation may occur, it will be gradual rather than a sudden spike in value due to the property’s current market price. Not ideal for: Student housing The property is less suited for student housing given its pricing and target market. The higher costs associated with renting this property may deter students seeking affordable accommodation in a competitive urban environment.
Economic Volatility Risk With an economic stability score of 90, while high, the tenant stability score of 70 indicates a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could lead to periods of vacancy and reduced cash flow.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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