This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom duplex of 97 m², energy rating D. Located on avenida Marginal, Oeiras e São Julião da Barra, Paço de Arcos e Caxias parish, Oeiras municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This duplex includes a multifunctional upper floor space that can serve as an office or game room, alongside a sea view from the primary suite's private area.
The valuation. The asking price is currently set at €475,000, which is €47,830 (9.1%) below the fair value of €522,830, indicating it is priced fairly in the market. Buy-to-flip angle. This property can be quickly flipped by enhancing the less sophisticated finishes in the bedrooms, capitalizing on the favorable market position for a potential resale at a higher price. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 3.8% and an estimated rental income of €1,504 per month, this duplex offers a stable return on investment for long-term rental or family rental strategies.
Fair value modelled at €522,830 from 5 comparable sales in the area. Asking €475,000 sits €47,830 (9.1%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €475,000 versus the avenida Marginal area baseline of €478,614 (€4,934/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 68/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €478,614, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €522,830 (€5,390/m²), a €47,830 (9.1%) gap versus the €475,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avenida Marginal | Subject | €475,000 | €4,897 | — | 70 | 72 |
| rua Orquídeas, 1 | Active | €445,000 | €5,494 | 12.2% | 70 | 73 |
| Oeiras e São Julião da Barra, Paço de Arcos e Caxias · 6a91c5 | Active | €539,000 | €5,390 | 10.1% | 70 | 73 |
| rua António Galvão | Active | €580,000 | €5,043 | 3.0% | 70 | 67 |
| rua Doutor Coutinho Pais, 3 | Active | €445,000 | €4,944 | 1.0% | 60 | 71 |
| Median comp | €492,000 | €5,217 | 6.5% | 70 | 72 |
Long-term rental The property’s gross yield of 3.8% indicates a stable return, ideal for long-term investors seeking consistent rental income. Given the area’s good transport links to Lisbon, demand for rental properties is expected to remain steady, supporting sustained occupancy rates. Family rental With a solid neighbourhood rating of 72/100, this duplex can attract families looking for a comfortable and well-connected home. The property's layout and the suburban setting make it particularly suited to long-term family tenants, enhancing its appeal in the rental market. Buy-and-hold The current listing price of €475,000 is relatively close to its fair value of €522,830, suggesting a balanced investment opportunity without immediate upside potential. Holding onto this asset long-term may yield benefits as the area develops further, ensuring a healthy appreciation trajectory over time.
Economic downturn risk With an economic stability score of 75/100, there is a moderate risk that changes in the local economy could negatively impact the property’s value and rental income.
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