This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom villa of 600 m². Located Lagos municipality, Faro district. This villa features striking curved concrete walls and a 10-metre heated pool that enhance its contemporary design and outdoor living experience.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,790,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €3,227,312, resulting in a discrepancy of €562,688, or 17.4%. This indicates that the property is overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €3,227,312 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,790,000 sits €562,688 (17.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Lagos, Faro area median of €2,454,000 (€4,090/m²) for a property of this size — the starting reference point before comparable sales are factored in.
6 comparable sales in the area adjust the estimate by +€773,312 versus the parish baseline.
Parish baseline €2,454,000 +€773,312 comparables adjustment = modelled fair value of €3,227,312 (€5,379/m²), a €562,688 (17.4%) gap versus the €3,790,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e3ac7f | Subject | €3,790,000 | €6,317 | — | 86 | 74 |
| Bensafrim e Barão de São João · 25f476 | Active | €1,750,000 | €9,211 | 45.8% | 75 | 69 |
| Bensafrim e Barão de São João · 9568c7 | Active | €1,750,000 | €9,211 | 45.8% | 82 | 61 |
| Bensafrim e Barão de São João · 956bdc | Active | €1,499,000 | €6,194 | 1.9% | 80 | 72 |
| Luz · 483b7c | Active | €1,350,000 | €3,342 | 47.1% | 85 | 70 |
| Median comp | €1,624,500 | €7,703 | 21.9% | 81 | 70 |
Short-term vacation rental The property’s listing price of €3,790,000 indicates a 17.4% premium over its fair value, resulting in a yield of 0%, which is not conducive for a short-term vacation rental strategy. Although the location in Lagos attracts tourists, the current pricing structure makes this investment strategy risky and less appealing. Family rental At a listing price of €3,790,000 and a neighborhood rating of 74/100, the property does not present a compelling value proposition for a family rental market, considering it is overpriced by 17.4% compared to its fair value. Families typically seek affordable and practical housing options, making this villa an unsuitable investment. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy is also undermined by the property’s 0% yield and a fair value gap of 17.4%, suggesting that the long-term appreciation potential does not justify the current asking price. With the neighborhood's score of 74/100, the investment is likely to underperform expectations in the buy-and-hold category due to the high purchase cost and stagnant cash flow.
[Economic Sensitivity Risk] With an economic stability score of 65/100, the property may be vulnerable to economic fluctuations, potentially affecting rental income and property value over time.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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