This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 400 m², built in 1970, energy rating B. Located Alcabideche parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This property boasts a stunning view over Guincho beach and the sea while being set in a protected landscape area, ensuring both privacy and natural beauty.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,500,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,623,152, representing an overvaluation of €1,876,848 (53.6%). This elevated price does not align with market expectations for similar properties in the area.
Fair value modelled at €1,623,152 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €3,500,000 sits €1,876,848 (53.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,500,000 versus the Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,709,600 (€4,274/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 66/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 60 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,709,600 + condition +€43,750 + location +€95,002 = modelled fair value of €1,623,152 (€4,058/m²), a €1,876,848 (53.6%) gap versus the €3,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcabideche · 388ad8 | Subject | €3,500,000 | €8,750 | — | 80 | 66 |
| rua do Cabo | Active | €2,600,000 | €7,951 | 9.1% | 80 | 72 |
| jardim na Aldeia de Juzo | Active | €1,695,000 | €6,544 | 25.2% | 88 | 80 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 4a7d13 | Active | €2,690,000 | €7,079 | 19.1% | 79 | 75 |
| rua Irene Isidro | Active | €1,280,000 | €5,689 | 35.0% | 85 | 65 |
| Median comp | €2,147,500 | €6,812 | 22.2% | 83 | 74 |
Long-term rental The property in Alcabideche is currently overpriced, with a fair value considerably lower than the listing price, posing a challenge for achieving the desired gross yield of 3%. Given the neighborhood's average rating of 66/100, potential long-term tenants may be deterred by the high acquisition cost relative to rental income potential. Family rental As a family rental option, this house may attract interest due to its size, but the significant gap of 53.6% from fair value suggests that it may not be an appealing choice for budget-conscious families. Additionally, the 82/100 condition rating does not compensate for the high price, limiting its attractiveness in a neighborhood with moderate overall desirability. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable, as the apparent overpricing at €3,500,000 hinder its long-term appreciation potential compared to its fair value of €1,623,152. While the suburban setting near Lisbon offers commuter benefits, the neighborhood's relatively low amenities and tenant quality ratings suggest limited growth prospects in the future.
Economic Risk With an economic stability score of 65/100, the property may be susceptible to fluctuations in the local economy, potentially affecting tenant retention and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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