This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom duplex of 208 m², built in 2025, energy rating B. Located Avenidas Novas parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This duplex showcases unique high-quality finishes, including custom cabinetry and smart home technology, enhancing both aesthetic appeal and functionality for modern living.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,499,000 is significantly above the fair value of €950,951, representing an overpricing of €548,049, or 36.6%. This property cannot be considered a deal in the current market context.
Fair value modelled at €950,951 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,499,000 sits €548,049 (36.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,499,000 versus the Avenidas Novas, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €1,191,424 (€5,728/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 83/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 85 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 80). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Avenidas Novas, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,191,424 + condition +€23,725 + location +€108,122 = modelled fair value of €950,951 (€4,572/m²), a €548,049 (36.6%) gap versus the €1,499,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avenidas Novas · 4bc464 | Subject | €1,499,000 | €7,207 | — | 80 | 83 |
| Estrela · 99f374 | Active | €1,390,000 | €6,950 | 3.6% | 85 | 80 |
| largo do Rato | Active | €2,450,000 | €8,974 | 24.5% | 80 | 87 |
| Santa Maria Maior · 49b89d | Active | €2,790,000 | €14,762 | 104.8% | 89 | 83 |
| rua do Crucifixo | Active | €980,000 | €7,778 | 7.9% | 80 | 80 |
| Median comp | €1,920,000 | €8,376 | 16.2% | 83 | 82 |
Long-term rental The property's gross yield of 2.4% indicates that it may not provide adequate returns in a long-term rental strategy. Additionally, with the property priced at €1,499,000, it exceeds the fair value by 36.6%, suggesting it is overpriced. Buy-and-hold Given its current listing price, the buy-and-hold strategy for this duplex becomes less attractive, as the fair valuation stands at €950,951. With the property being overpriced by 36.6%, potential appreciation may not justify the investment over the long term. Luxury market Although located in Avenidas Novas, the premium pricing of €1,499,000 does not align well with its fair valuation of €950,951, indicating a significant overprice. The affluent nature of the neighborhood may support luxury investments, but the property is still unreasonably priced at a gap of 36.6% above its fair value.
Economic downturn risk A slight decline in the economic stability score from 90/100 may indicate potential volatility that could affect property value and rental demand.
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